Cosmos Koblenz vs Emmelshausen-Karbach Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Aug 28, 2026 · kickoff 17:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Cosmos Koblenz vs Emmelshausen-Karbach
Model pick: Emmelshausen-Karbach (68%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 5.56 – 9.31
Total goals: 14.9
Over 2.5: 59%
Both teams score: 59%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Cosmos Koblenz | Emmelshausen-Karbach |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.5 / 2.25 | 2.25 / 2.0 |
*Cosmos Koblenz shown at home, Emmelshausen-Karbach shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Cosmos Koblenz — last 5
LLLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 50% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Emmelshausen-Karbach — last 5
LWDW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Cosmos Koblenz (home) | Emmelshausen-Karbach (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 50% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 100% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.34
Home wins: 41%
Draws: 28%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 61%
BTTS: 62%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (5.56 vs 9.31):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 5-8 (6%) |
| Double chance — Cosmos Koblenz or draw (1X) | 34% |
| Double chance — Emmelshausen-Karbach or draw (X2) | 80% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 86% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 100% / 0% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 100% / 0% |
| Cosmos Koblenz clean sheet | 0% |
| Emmelshausen-Karbach clean sheet | 0% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Emmelshausen-Karbach is the model's most likely outcome at
68%. Despite playing away, Emmelshausen-Karbach edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 14.9, this shapes as an open game (59% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Cosmos Koblenz vs Emmelshausen-Karbach — FAQ
Who will win Cosmos Koblenz vs Emmelshausen-Karbach?
Our statistical model makes Emmelshausen-Karbach the most likely result at 68%. Full probabilities: Cosmos Koblenz 20%, draw 12%, Emmelshausen-Karbach 68%.
Will both teams score in Cosmos Koblenz vs Emmelshausen-Karbach?
The model gives a 59% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Cosmos Koblenz vs Emmelshausen-Karbach?
Expected goals are 5.56 for Cosmos Koblenz and 9.31 for Emmelshausen-Karbach — about 14.9 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Cosmos Koblenz vs Emmelshausen-Karbach?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 5-8 (6%). Double chance for Cosmos Koblenz or draw is 34%.