Costa Brava vs Guillermo Brown Prediction & Preview
Argentino A (Argentina) · Aug 16, 2026 · kickoff 20:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
ARGENTINO A (ARGENTINA)
Costa Brava vs Guillermo Brown
Model pick: Costa Brava (37%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.14 – 1.05
Total goals: 2.2
Over 2.5: 43%
Both teams score: 49%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Costa Brava | Guillermo Brown |
|---|
| League position | #6 (18 pts) | #7 (14 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.4 / 0.7 | 0.5 / 1.4 |
| Win rate this season* | 57% | 12% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.75 / 1.5 | 0.6 / 1.2 |
*Costa Brava shown at home, Guillermo Brown shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Costa Brava — last 5
LLDD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Guillermo Brown — last 5
WLWLL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 33% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Costa Brava (home) | Guillermo Brown (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 4-1-2 in 7 (1.4 / 0.7 goals per game) | 1-3-4 in 8 (0.5 / 1.4 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 33% |
Argentino A (Argentina) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.04
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 33%
Away wins: 23%
Over 2.5: 36%
BTTS: 39%
Use these Argentino A (Argentina) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.14 vs 1.05):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (13%) |
| Double chance — Costa Brava or draw (1X) | 67% |
| Double chance — Guillermo Brown or draw (X2) | 62% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 71% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 64% / 36% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 18% / 82% |
| Costa Brava clean sheet | 35% |
| Guillermo Brown clean sheet | 32% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Costa Brava is the model's most likely outcome at
37%. Costa Brava are backed at home, where they average 0.5 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (57% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Costa Brava vs Guillermo Brown — FAQ
Who will win Costa Brava vs Guillermo Brown?
Our statistical model makes Costa Brava the most likely result at 37%. Full probabilities: Costa Brava 37%, draw 30%, Guillermo Brown 33%.
Will both teams score in Costa Brava vs Guillermo Brown?
The model gives a 49% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Costa Brava vs Guillermo Brown?
Expected goals are 1.14 for Costa Brava and 1.05 for Guillermo Brown — about 2.2 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Costa Brava vs Guillermo Brown?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (13%). Double chance for Costa Brava or draw is 67%.