Courtetelle vs Thun II Prediction & Preview
1 Liga Classic (Switzerland) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
1 LIGA CLASSIC (SWITZERLAND)
Courtetelle vs Thun II
Model pick: Courtetelle (80%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.9 – 0.04
Total goals: 1.9
Over 2.5: 39%
Both teams score: 19%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Courtetelle | Thun II |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.67 / 2.0 | 1.67 / 1.67 |
*Courtetelle shown at home, Thun II shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Courtetelle — last 5
DLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 50% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Thun II — last 5
DLW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Courtetelle (home) | Thun II (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 50% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 100% |
1 Liga Classic (Switzerland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.03
Home wins: 40%
Draws: 30%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 67%
BTTS: 73%
Use these 1 Liga Classic (Switzerland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.9 vs 0.04):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (27%) |
| Double chance — Courtetelle or draw (1X) | 99% |
| Double chance — Thun II or draw (X2) | 16% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 85% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 58% / 42% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 13% / 87% |
| Courtetelle clean sheet | 96% |
| Thun II clean sheet | 15% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Courtetelle is the model's most likely outcome at
80%. Courtetelle are backed at home, where they average 0.5 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (61% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Courtetelle vs Thun II — FAQ
Who will win Courtetelle vs Thun II?
Our statistical model makes Courtetelle the most likely result at 80%. Full probabilities: Courtetelle 80%, draw 19%, Thun II 1%.
Will both teams score in Courtetelle vs Thun II?
The model gives a 19% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Courtetelle vs Thun II?
Expected goals are 1.9 for Courtetelle and 0.04 for Thun II — about 1.9 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Courtetelle vs Thun II?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (27%). Double chance for Courtetelle or draw is 99%.