Cracovia Kraków vs Wieczysta Kraków Prediction & Preview
Ekstraklasa (Poland) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
EKSTRAKLASA (POLAND)
Cracovia Kraków vs Wieczysta Kraków
Model pick: Cracovia Kraków (40%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.1 – 2.04
Total goals: 4.1
Over 2.5: 68%
Both teams score: 66%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Cracovia Kraków | Wieczysta Kraków |
|---|
| League position | #9 (5 pts) | #15 (3 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.0 / 1.5 | 2.5 / 2.5 |
| Win rate this season* | 50% | 50% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.6 / 0.6 | 1.6 / 1.6 |
*Cracovia Kraków shown at home, Wieczysta Kraków shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Cracovia Kraków — last 5
WDLDW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 30% of the time; 46% of home games go over 2.5.
Wieczysta Kraków — last 5
WLLLW
On the road: clean sheet 37% of the time; 47% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Cracovia Kraków (home) | Wieczysta Kraków (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-0-1 in 2 (1.0 / 1.5 goals per game) | 1-0-1 in 2 (2.5 / 2.5 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 30% | 37% |
| Both teams scored | 56% | 42% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 47% |
| Top scorer | Ajdin Hasic (7) | – |
Ekstraklasa (Poland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.66
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 26%
Away wins: 29%
Over 2.5: 50%
BTTS: 53%
Use these Ekstraklasa (Poland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.1 vs 2.04):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-2 (7%) |
| Double chance — Cracovia Kraków or draw (1X) | 61% |
| Double chance — Wieczysta Kraków or draw (X2) | 59% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 80% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 92% / 8% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 59% / 41% |
| Cracovia Kraków clean sheet | 13% |
| Wieczysta Kraków clean sheet | 12% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Cracovia Kraków is the model's most likely outcome at
40%. Cracovia Kraków are backed at home, where they average 1.5 goals a game. With expected goals of 4.1, this shapes as an open game (68% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Cracovia Kraków vs Wieczysta Kraków — FAQ
Who will win Cracovia Kraków vs Wieczysta Kraków?
Our statistical model makes Cracovia Kraków the most likely result at 40%. Full probabilities: Cracovia Kraków 40%, draw 22%, Wieczysta Kraków 38%.
Will both teams score in Cracovia Kraków vs Wieczysta Kraków?
The model gives a 66% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Cracovia Kraków vs Wieczysta Kraków?
Expected goals are 2.1 for Cracovia Kraków and 2.04 for Wieczysta Kraków — about 4.1 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Cracovia Kraków vs Wieczysta Kraków?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-2 (7%). Double chance for Cracovia Kraków or draw is 61%.