Cracovia Kraków vs Wieczysta Kraków Prediction & Preview
Ekstraklasa (Poland) · Aug 21, 2026 · kickoff 18:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
EKSTRAKLASA (POLAND)
Cracovia Kraków vs Wieczysta Kraków
Model pick: Cracovia Kraków (46%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.61 – 1.13
Total goals: 2.7
Over 2.5: 52%
Both teams score: 54%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Cracovia Kraków | Wieczysta Kraków |
|---|
| League position | #16 (2 pts) | #13 (3 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 0.0 / 2.0 | 2.5 / 2.5 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 50% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.6 / 0.4 | 1.6 / 1.6 |
*Cracovia Kraków shown at home, Wieczysta Kraków shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Cracovia Kraków — last 5
WWDLD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 30% of the time; 46% of home games go over 2.5.
Wieczysta Kraków — last 5
WLLLW
On the road: clean sheet 37% of the time; 47% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Cracovia Kraków (home) | Wieczysta Kraków (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-0-1 in 1 (0.0 / 2.0 goals per game) | 1-0-1 in 2 (2.5 / 2.5 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 30% | 37% |
| Both teams scored | 56% | 42% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 47% |
| Top scorer | Ajdin Hasic (7) | – |
Ekstraklasa (Poland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.66
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 26%
Away wins: 29%
Over 2.5: 50%
BTTS: 53%
Use these Ekstraklasa (Poland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.61 vs 1.13):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (12%) |
| Double chance — Cracovia Kraków or draw (1X) | 73% |
| Double chance — Wieczysta Kraków or draw (X2) | 51% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 75% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 76% / 24% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 29% / 71% |
| Cracovia Kraków clean sheet | 32% |
| Wieczysta Kraków clean sheet | 20% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Cracovia Kraków is the model's most likely outcome at
46%. Cracovia Kraków are backed at home, where they average 1.5 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (48% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Cracovia Kraków vs Wieczysta Kraków — FAQ
Who will win Cracovia Kraków vs Wieczysta Kraków?
Our statistical model makes Cracovia Kraków the most likely result at 46%. Full probabilities: Cracovia Kraków 46%, draw 26%, Wieczysta Kraków 28%.
Will both teams score in Cracovia Kraków vs Wieczysta Kraków?
The model gives a 54% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Cracovia Kraków vs Wieczysta Kraków?
Expected goals are 1.61 for Cracovia Kraków and 1.13 for Wieczysta Kraków — about 2.7 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Cracovia Kraków vs Wieczysta Kraków?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (12%). Double chance for Cracovia Kraków or draw is 73%.