Cray Wanderers vs Welling United Prediction & Preview
Non League Premier (England) · Aug 31, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NON LEAGUE PREMIER (ENGLAND)
Cray Wanderers vs Welling United
Model pick: Welling United (49%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.93 – 1.56
Total goals: 2.5
Over 2.5: 48%
Both teams score: 51%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Cray Wanderers | Welling United |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 1.0 | 2.0 / 1.2 |
*Cray Wanderers shown at home, Welling United shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Cray Wanderers — last 5
DLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 50% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Welling United — last 5
LWLWW
On the road: clean sheet 20% of the time; 53% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Cray Wanderers (home) | Welling United (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 50% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 53% |
Non League Premier (England) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.89
Home wins: 46%
Draws: 21%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 57%
BTTS: 54%
Use these Non League Premier (England) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.93 vs 1.56):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (13%) |
| Double chance — Cray Wanderers or draw (1X) | 48% |
| Double chance — Welling United or draw (X2) | 78% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 75% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 71% / 29% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 24% / 76% |
| Cray Wanderers clean sheet | 21% |
| Welling United clean sheet | 39% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Welling United is the model's most likely outcome at
49%. Despite playing away, Welling United edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (52% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
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❓ Cray Wanderers vs Welling United — FAQ
Who will win Cray Wanderers vs Welling United?
Our statistical model makes Welling United the most likely result at 49%. Full probabilities: Cray Wanderers 24%, draw 27%, Welling United 49%.
Will both teams score in Cray Wanderers vs Welling United?
The model gives a 51% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Cray Wanderers vs Welling United?
Expected goals are 0.93 for Cray Wanderers and 1.56 for Welling United — about 2.5 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Cray Wanderers vs Welling United?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (13%). Double chance for Cray Wanderers or draw is 48%.