Criciúma vs Goiás Prediction & Preview
Serie B (Brazil) · Aug 15, 2026 · kickoff 19:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SERIE B (BRAZIL)
Criciúma vs Goiás
Model pick: Criciúma (42%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.16 – 0.83
Total goals: 2.0
Over 2.5: 40%
Both teams score: 47%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Criciúma | Goiás |
|---|
| League position | #1 (40 pts) | #12 (29 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.2 / 0.4 | 1.1 / 1.4 |
| Win rate this season* | 60% | 27% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 0.6 | 1.4 / 1.0 |
*Criciúma shown at home, Goiás shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Criciúma — last 5
WWWDL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 39% of the time; 40% of home games go over 2.5.
Goiás — last 5
WDWDL
On the road: clean sheet 23% of the time; 43% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Criciúma (home) | Goiás (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 6-4-0 in 10 (1.2 / 0.4 goals per game) | 3-4-4 in 11 (1.1 / 1.4 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 39% | 23% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 43% |
| Top scorer | Romulo Otero (3) | Kadu (5) |
Serie B (Brazil) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.17
Home wins: 46%
Draws: 30%
Away wins: 24%
Over 2.5: 38%
BTTS: 46%
Use these Serie B (Brazil) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.16 vs 0.83):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (16%) |
| Double chance — Criciúma or draw (1X) | 74% |
| Double chance — Goiás or draw (X2) | 57% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 70% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 59% / 41% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 14% / 86% |
| Criciúma clean sheet | 44% |
| Goiás clean sheet | 31% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Criciúma is the model's most likely outcome at
42%. Criciúma are backed at home, where they average 1.4 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (60% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Criciúma vs Goiás — FAQ
Who will win Criciúma vs Goiás?
Our statistical model makes Criciúma the most likely result at 42%. Full probabilities: Criciúma 42%, draw 31%, Goiás 27%.
Will both teams score in Criciúma vs Goiás?
The model gives a 47% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Criciúma vs Goiás?
Expected goals are 1.16 for Criciúma and 0.83 for Goiás — about 2.0 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Criciúma vs Goiás?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (16%). Double chance for Criciúma or draw is 74%.