Criciúma vs Juventude Prediction & Preview
Serie B (Brazil) · Sep 09, 2026 · kickoff 00:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SERIE B (BRAZIL)
Criciúma vs Juventude
Model pick: Criciúma (43%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.06 – 0.67
Total goals: 1.7
Over 2.5: 36%
Both teams score: 43%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Criciúma | Juventude |
|---|
| League position | #3 (44 pts) | #1 (46 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.1 / 0.5 | 0.8 / 0.9 |
| Win rate this season* | 58% | 33% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.6 / 1.4 | 0.8 / 0.2 |
*Criciúma shown at home, Juventude shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Criciúma — last 5
LWDLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 39% of the time; 39% of home games go over 2.5.
Juventude — last 5
WDWWD
On the road: clean sheet 22% of the time; 42% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Criciúma (home) | Juventude (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 7-4-1 in 12 (1.1 / 0.5 goals per game) | 4-4-4 in 12 (0.8 / 0.9 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 39% | 22% |
| Both teams scored | 49% | 48% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 39% | 42% |
| Top scorer | Romulo Otero (3) | Silva Rai (5) |
Serie B (Brazil) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.17
Home wins: 46%
Draws: 30%
Away wins: 24%
Over 2.5: 38%
BTTS: 46%
Use these Serie B (Brazil) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.06 vs 0.67):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (19%) |
| Double chance — Criciúma or draw (1X) | 77% |
| Double chance — Juventude or draw (X2) | 56% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 67% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 52% / 48% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 10% / 90% |
| Criciúma clean sheet | 51% |
| Juventude clean sheet | 35% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Criciúma is the model's most likely outcome at
43%. Criciúma are backed at home, where they average 1.4 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (64% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Criciúma vs Juventude — FAQ
Who will win Criciúma vs Juventude?
Our statistical model makes Criciúma the most likely result at 43%. Full probabilities: Criciúma 43%, draw 33%, Juventude 24%.
Will both teams score in Criciúma vs Juventude?
The model gives a 43% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Criciúma vs Juventude?
Expected goals are 1.06 for Criciúma and 0.67 for Juventude — about 1.7 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Criciúma vs Juventude?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (19%). Double chance for Criciúma or draw is 77%.