Crvena Zvezda vs Partizan Prediction & Preview
Super Liga (Serbia) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SUPER LIGA (SERBIA)
Crvena Zvezda vs Partizan
Model pick: Crvena Zvezda (63%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.51 – 1.1
Total goals: 3.6
Over 2.5: 62%
Both teams score: 58%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Crvena Zvezda | Partizan |
|---|
| League position | #15 (14 pts) | #13 (4 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.0 / 0.5 | 2.0 / 2.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 50% | 33% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 1.4 | 1.2 / 1.8 |
*Crvena Zvezda shown at home, Partizan shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Crvena Zvezda — last 5
WLWWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 53% of the time; 74% of home games go over 2.5.
Partizan — last 5
WLLLW
On the road: clean sheet 42% of the time; 57% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Crvena Zvezda (home) | Partizan (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 2-2-0 in 4 (1.0 / 0.5 goals per game) | 1-1-1 in 3 (2.0 / 2.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 53% | 42% |
| Both teams scored | 46% | 49% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 74% | 57% |
| Top scorer | Rade Krunic (2) | – |
Super Liga (Serbia) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.62
Home wins: 47%
Draws: 22%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 50%
BTTS: 48%
Use these Super Liga (Serbia) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.51 vs 1.1):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-1 (9%) |
| Double chance — Crvena Zvezda or draw (1X) | 85% |
| Double chance — Partizan or draw (X2) | 32% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 83% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 88% / 12% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 49% / 51% |
| Crvena Zvezda clean sheet | 33% |
| Partizan clean sheet | 8% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Crvena Zvezda is the model's most likely outcome at
63%. Crvena Zvezda are backed at home, where they average 2.9 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.6, this shapes as an open game (62% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Crvena Zvezda vs Partizan — FAQ
Who will win Crvena Zvezda vs Partizan?
Our statistical model makes Crvena Zvezda the most likely result at 63%. Full probabilities: Crvena Zvezda 63%, draw 20%, Partizan 17%.
Will both teams score in Crvena Zvezda vs Partizan?
The model gives a 58% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Crvena Zvezda vs Partizan?
Expected goals are 2.51 for Crvena Zvezda and 1.1 for Partizan — about 3.6 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Crvena Zvezda vs Partizan?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-1 (9%). Double chance for Crvena Zvezda or draw is 85%.