Crvena Zvezda vs Vojvodina Prediction & Preview
Super Liga (Serbia) · Jul 25, 2026 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SUPER LIGA (SERBIA)
Crvena Zvezda vs Vojvodina
Model pick: Crvena Zvezda (67%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.54 – 0.95
Total goals: 3.5
Over 2.5: 61%
Both teams score: 55%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Crvena Zvezda | Vojvodina |
|---|
| League position | #15 (14 pts) | #2 (3 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.0 / 0.5 | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 50% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.6 / 1.4 | 1.8 / 1.8 |
*Crvena Zvezda shown at home, Vojvodina shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Crvena Zvezda — last 5
LDLWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 53% of the time; 74% of home games go over 2.5.
Vojvodina — last 5
WLLWL
On the road: clean sheet 31% of the time; 46% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Crvena Zvezda (home) | Vojvodina (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 2-2-0 in 4 (1.0 / 0.5 goals per game) | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 53% | 31% |
| Both teams scored | 47% | 48% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 74% | 46% |
| Top scorer | – | Aleksa Vukanovic (7) |
Super Liga (Serbia) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.62
Home wins: 47%
Draws: 22%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 50%
BTTS: 48%
Use these Super Liga (Serbia) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.54 vs 0.95):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-0 (10%) |
| Double chance — Crvena Zvezda or draw (1X) | 88% |
| Double chance — Vojvodina or draw (X2) | 28% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 84% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 86% / 14% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 46% / 54% |
| Crvena Zvezda clean sheet | 39% |
| Vojvodina clean sheet | 8% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Crvena Zvezda is the model's most likely outcome at
67%. Crvena Zvezda are backed at home, where they average 2.9 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.5, this shapes as an open game (61% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Crvena Zvezda vs Vojvodina — FAQ
Who will win Crvena Zvezda vs Vojvodina?
Our statistical model makes Crvena Zvezda the most likely result at 67%. Full probabilities: Crvena Zvezda 67%, draw 19%, Vojvodina 14%.
Will both teams score in Crvena Zvezda vs Vojvodina?
The model gives a 55% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Crvena Zvezda vs Vojvodina?
Expected goals are 2.54 for Crvena Zvezda and 0.95 for Vojvodina — about 3.5 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Crvena Zvezda vs Vojvodina?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-0 (10%). Double chance for Crvena Zvezda or draw is 88%.