CSC 03 Kassel vs Friedberg Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Aug 16, 2026 · kickoff 13:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
CSC 03 Kassel vs Friedberg
Model pick: Friedberg (60%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.74 – 1.89
Total goals: 2.6
Over 2.5: 50%
Both teams score: 50%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| CSC 03 Kassel | Friedberg |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.5 / 5.5 | 2.5 / 1.0 |
*CSC 03 Kassel shown at home, Friedberg shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
CSC 03 Kassel — last 5
LL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Friedberg — last 5
WW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | CSC 03 Kassel (home) | Friedberg (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.43
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 21%
Away wins: 36%
Over 2.5: 64%
BTTS: 62%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.74 vs 1.89):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (14%) |
| Double chance — CSC 03 Kassel or draw (1X) | 35% |
| Double chance — Friedberg or draw (X2) | 86% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 79% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 74% / 26% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 27% / 73% |
| CSC 03 Kassel clean sheet | 15% |
| Friedberg clean sheet | 48% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Friedberg is the model's most likely outcome at
60%. Despite playing away, Friedberg edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (50% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ CSC 03 Kassel vs Friedberg — FAQ
Who will win CSC 03 Kassel vs Friedberg?
Our statistical model makes Friedberg the most likely result at 60%. Full probabilities: CSC 03 Kassel 16%, draw 24%, Friedberg 60%.
Will both teams score in CSC 03 Kassel vs Friedberg?
The model gives a 50% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in CSC 03 Kassel vs Friedberg?
Expected goals are 0.74 for CSC 03 Kassel and 1.89 for Friedberg — about 2.6 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in CSC 03 Kassel vs Friedberg?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (14%). Double chance for CSC 03 Kassel or draw is 35%.