CSKA Moscow vs Krylya Sovetov Prediction & Preview
Premier League (Russia) · Aug 01, 2026 · kickoff 13:15 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
PREMIER LEAGUE (RUSSIA)
CSKA Moscow vs Krylya Sovetov
Model pick: CSKA Moscow (62%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.09 – 0.83
Total goals: 2.9
Over 2.5: 54%
Both teams score: 52%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| CSKA Moscow | Krylya Sovetov |
|---|
| League position | #1 (3 pts) | #9 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 2.0 / 1.0 | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 100% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 2.0 | 1.0 / 2.0 |
*CSKA Moscow shown at home, Krylya Sovetov shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
CSKA Moscow — last 5
DDLLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 44% of the time; 52% of home games go over 2.5.
Krylya Sovetov — last 5
LLLLD
On the road: clean sheet 15% of the time; 54% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | CSKA Moscow (home) | Krylya Sovetov (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-0-0 in 1 (2.0 / 1.0 goals per game) | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 44% | 15% |
| Both teams scored | 47% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 54% |
Premier League (Russia) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.53
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 26%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 47%
BTTS: 49%
Use these Premier League (Russia) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.09 vs 0.83):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-0 (12%) |
| Double chance — CSKA Moscow or draw (1X) | 86% |
| Double chance — Krylya Sovetov or draw (X2) | 33% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 80% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 79% / 21% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 33% / 67% |
| CSKA Moscow clean sheet | 44% |
| Krylya Sovetov clean sheet | 12% |
🎯 Our Verdict
CSKA Moscow is the model's most likely outcome at
62%. CSKA Moscow are backed at home, where they average 1.9 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (46% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ CSKA Moscow vs Krylya Sovetov — FAQ
Who will win CSKA Moscow vs Krylya Sovetov?
Our statistical model makes CSKA Moscow the most likely result at 62%. Full probabilities: CSKA Moscow 62%, draw 22%, Krylya Sovetov 16%.
Will both teams score in CSKA Moscow vs Krylya Sovetov?
The model gives a 52% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in CSKA Moscow vs Krylya Sovetov?
Expected goals are 2.09 for CSKA Moscow and 0.83 for Krylya Sovetov — about 2.9 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in CSKA Moscow vs Krylya Sovetov?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-0 (12%). Double chance for CSKA Moscow or draw is 86%.