CSKA Sofia vs OFI Prediction & Preview
UEFA Europa League (Europe) · Aug 27, 2026 · kickoff 18:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
UEFA EUROPA LEAGUE (EUROPE)
CSKA Sofia vs OFI
Model pick: CSKA Sofia (40%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.16 – 2.05
Total goals: 2.2
Over 2.5: 44%
Both teams score: 44%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| CSKA Sofia | OFI |
|---|
| League position | #2 (13 pts) | #3 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 3.3 / 1.0 | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 100% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.4 / 1.2 | 1.8 / 2.2 |
*CSKA Sofia shown at home, OFI shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
CSKA Sofia — last 5
WWLWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 51% of the time; 45% of home games go over 2.5.
OFI — last 5
LLLWW
On the road: clean sheet 27% of the time; 56% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | CSKA Sofia (home) | OFI (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 3-0-0 in 3 (3.3 / 1.0 goals per game) | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 51% | 27% |
| Both teams scored | 41% | 48% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% | 56% |
| Top scorer | Leandro Godoy (9) | Taxiarchis Fountas (9) |
UEFA Europa League (Europe) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.68
Home wins: 53%
Draws: 21%
Away wins: 26%
Over 2.5: 53%
BTTS: 41%
Use these UEFA Europa League (Europe) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.16 vs 2.05):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-2 (23%) |
| Double chance — CSKA Sofia or draw (1X) | 17% |
| Double chance — OFI or draw (X2) | 98% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 85% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 65% / 35% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 18% / 82% |
| CSKA Sofia clean sheet | 13% |
| OFI clean sheet | 85% |
🎯 Our Verdict
CSKA Sofia is the model's most likely outcome at
40%. CSKA Sofia are backed at home, where they average 1.8 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (56% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ CSKA Sofia vs OFI — FAQ
Who will win CSKA Sofia vs OFI?
Our statistical model makes CSKA Sofia the most likely result at 40%. Full probabilities: CSKA Sofia 40%, draw 22%, OFI 38%.
Will both teams score in CSKA Sofia vs OFI?
The model gives a 44% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in CSKA Sofia vs OFI?
Expected goals are 0.16 for CSKA Sofia and 2.05 for OFI — about 2.2 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in CSKA Sofia vs OFI?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-2 (23%). Double chance for CSKA Sofia or draw is 17%.