Cultural Leonesa II vs Colegios Diocesanos Prediction & Preview
Tercera (Spain) · Sep 06, 2026 · kickoff 10:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
TERCERA (SPAIN)
Cultural Leonesa II vs Colegios Diocesanos
Model pick: Cultural Leonesa II (61%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.89 – 0.7
Total goals: 2.6
Over 2.5: 50%
Both teams score: 49%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Cultural Leonesa II | Colegios Diocesanos |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 1.4 | 1.0 / 2.0 |
*Cultural Leonesa II shown at home, Colegios Diocesanos shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Cultural Leonesa II — last 5
WWDLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 27% of the time; 47% of home games go over 2.5.
Colegios Diocesanos — last 5
LLWLL
On the road: clean sheet 29% of the time; 39% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Cultural Leonesa II (home) | Colegios Diocesanos (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 27% | 29% |
| Both teams scored | 56% | 27% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% | 39% |
Tercera (Spain) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.49
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 27%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 45%
BTTS: 46%
Use these Tercera (Spain) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.89 vs 0.7):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (14%) |
| Double chance — Cultural Leonesa II or draw (1X) | 87% |
| Double chance — Colegios Diocesanos or draw (X2) | 34% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 79% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 73% / 27% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 26% / 74% |
| Cultural Leonesa II clean sheet | 50% |
| Colegios Diocesanos clean sheet | 15% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Cultural Leonesa II is the model's most likely outcome at
61%. Cultural Leonesa II are backed at home, where they average 1.4 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (50% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Cultural Leonesa II vs Colegios Diocesanos — FAQ
Who will win Cultural Leonesa II vs Colegios Diocesanos?
Our statistical model makes Cultural Leonesa II the most likely result at 61%. Full probabilities: Cultural Leonesa II 61%, draw 23%, Colegios Diocesanos 15%.
Will both teams score in Cultural Leonesa II vs Colegios Diocesanos?
The model gives a 49% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Cultural Leonesa II vs Colegios Diocesanos?
Expected goals are 1.89 for Cultural Leonesa II and 0.7 for Colegios Diocesanos — about 2.6 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Cultural Leonesa II vs Colegios Diocesanos?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (14%). Double chance for Cultural Leonesa II or draw is 87%.