Daegu vs Busan IPark Prediction & Preview
K League 2 (South Korea) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 10:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
K LEAGUE 2 (SOUTH KOREA)
Daegu vs Busan IPark
Model pick: Daegu (45%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.95 – 1.48
Total goals: 3.4
Over 2.5: 60%
Both teams score: 62%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Daegu | Busan IPark |
|---|
| League position | #3 (38 pts) | #5 (37 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 2.0 / 1.3 | 1.8 / 1.7 |
| Win rate this season* | 64% | 50% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 1.6 | 0.8 / 1.6 |
*Daegu shown at home, Busan IPark shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Daegu — last 5
DLLWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 28% of the time; 51% of home games go over 2.5.
Busan IPark — last 5
LWLLD
On the road: clean sheet 36% of the time; 41% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Daegu (home) | Busan IPark (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 7-1-3 in 11 (2.0 / 1.3 goals per game) | 5-1-4 in 10 (1.8 / 1.7 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 28% | 36% |
| Both teams scored | 56% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 41% |
K League 2 (South Korea) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.51
Home wins: 38%
Draws: 28%
Away wins: 34%
Over 2.5: 46%
BTTS: 51%
Use these K League 2 (South Korea) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.95 vs 1.48):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (9%) |
| Double chance — Daegu or draw (1X) | 71% |
| Double chance — Busan IPark or draw (X2) | 51% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 78% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 86% / 14% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 45% / 55% |
| Daegu clean sheet | 23% |
| Busan IPark clean sheet | 14% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Daegu is the model's most likely outcome at
45%. Daegu are backed at home, where they average 1.2 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.4, this shapes as an open game (60% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Daegu vs Busan IPark — FAQ
Who will win Daegu vs Busan IPark?
Our statistical model makes Daegu the most likely result at 45%. Full probabilities: Daegu 45%, draw 24%, Busan IPark 31%.
Will both teams score in Daegu vs Busan IPark?
The model gives a 62% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Daegu vs Busan IPark?
Expected goals are 1.95 for Daegu and 1.48 for Busan IPark — about 3.4 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Daegu vs Busan IPark?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (9%). Double chance for Daegu or draw is 71%.