Daejeon Hana Citizen vs Anyang Prediction & Preview
K-League (South Korea) · Sep 09, 2026 · kickoff 10:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
K-LEAGUE (SOUTH KOREA)
Daejeon Hana Citizen vs Anyang
Model pick: Daejeon Hana Citizen (49%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.76 – 1.14
Total goals: 2.9
Over 2.5: 54%
Both teams score: 55%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Daejeon Hana Citizen | Anyang |
|---|
| League position | #9 (32 pts) | #7 (34 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.1 / 1.2 | 1.4 / 1.2 |
| Win rate this season* | 23% | 38% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.2 / 2.0 | 1.0 / 2.4 |
*Daejeon Hana Citizen shown at home, Anyang shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Daejeon Hana Citizen — last 5
LWWWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 27% of the time; 49% of home games go over 2.5.
Anyang — last 5
LWLWD
On the road: clean sheet 23% of the time; 47% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Daejeon Hana Citizen (home) | Anyang (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 3-5-5 in 13 (1.1 / 1.2 goals per game) | 5-5-3 in 13 (1.4 / 1.2 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 27% | 23% |
| Both teams scored | 56% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | 47% |
| Top scorer | Jae-Hee Jeong (2) | Moises Airton (3) |
K-League (South Korea) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.61
Home wins: 39%
Draws: 28%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 50%
BTTS: 55%
Use these K-League (South Korea) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.76 vs 1.14):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (11%) |
| Double chance — Daejeon Hana Citizen or draw (1X) | 75% |
| Double chance — Anyang or draw (X2) | 48% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 77% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 79% / 21% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 33% / 67% |
| Daejeon Hana Citizen clean sheet | 32% |
| Anyang clean sheet | 17% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Daejeon Hana Citizen is the model's most likely outcome at
49%. Daejeon Hana Citizen are backed at home, where they average 1.4 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (46% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Daejeon Hana Citizen vs Anyang — FAQ
Who will win Daejeon Hana Citizen vs Anyang?
Our statistical model makes Daejeon Hana Citizen the most likely result at 49%. Full probabilities: Daejeon Hana Citizen 49%, draw 25%, Anyang 26%.
Will both teams score in Daejeon Hana Citizen vs Anyang?
The model gives a 55% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Daejeon Hana Citizen vs Anyang?
Expected goals are 1.76 for Daejeon Hana Citizen and 1.14 for Anyang — about 2.9 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Daejeon Hana Citizen vs Anyang?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (11%). Double chance for Daejeon Hana Citizen or draw is 75%.