Dag & Red vs Farnham Prediction & Preview
National League N/S (England) · Aug 14, 2026 · kickoff 19:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NATIONAL LEAGUE N/S (ENGLAND)
Dag & Red vs Farnham
Model pick: Dag & Red (60%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.14 – 0.12
Total goals: 1.3
Over 2.5: 26%
Both teams score: 25%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Dag & Red | Farnham |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.2 / 0.6 | 1.0 / 1.8 |
*Dag & Red shown at home, Farnham shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Dag & Red — last 5
WWWLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 38% of the time; 54% of home games go over 2.5.
Farnham — last 5
LWDDL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Dag & Red (home) | Farnham (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 38% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 100% |
National League N/S (England) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.79
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 53%
BTTS: 54%
Use these National League N/S (England) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.14 vs 0.12):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (32%) |
| Double chance — Dag & Red or draw (1X) | 96% |
| Double chance — Farnham or draw (X2) | 36% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 68% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 36% / 64% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 4% / 96% |
| Dag & Red clean sheet | 89% |
| Farnham clean sheet | 32% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Dag & Red is the model's most likely outcome at
60%. Dag & Red are backed at home, where they average 1.6 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (74% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Dag & Red vs Farnham — FAQ
Who will win Dag & Red vs Farnham?
Our statistical model makes Dag & Red the most likely result at 60%. Full probabilities: Dag & Red 60%, draw 34%, Farnham 6%.
Will both teams score in Dag & Red vs Farnham?
The model gives a 25% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Dag & Red vs Farnham?
Expected goals are 1.14 for Dag & Red and 0.12 for Farnham — about 1.3 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Dag & Red vs Farnham?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (32%). Double chance for Dag & Red or draw is 96%.