Dalian K'un City vs Nantong Zhiyun Prediction & Preview
League One (China) · Aug 30, 2026 · kickoff 11:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
LEAGUE ONE (CHINA)
Dalian K'un City vs Nantong Zhiyun
Model pick: Nantong Zhiyun (56%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.67 – 1.61
Total goals: 2.3
Over 2.5: 45%
Both teams score: 47%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Dalian K'un City | Nantong Zhiyun |
|---|
| League position | #11 (21 pts) | #4 (35 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.6 / 1.3 | 0.7 / 0.8 |
| Win rate this season* | 30% | 10% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 1.6 | 2.2 / 0.8 |
*Dalian K'un City shown at home, Nantong Zhiyun shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Dalian K'un City — last 5
DDLLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 50% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Nantong Zhiyun — last 5
DWDDW
On the road: clean sheet 18% of the time; 42% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Dalian K'un City (home) | Nantong Zhiyun (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 3-6-1 in 10 (1.6 / 1.3 goals per game) | 1-8-1 in 10 (0.7 / 0.8 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 50% | 18% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 42% |
League One (China) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.0
Home wins: 49%
Draws: 28%
Away wins: 23%
Over 2.5: 62%
BTTS: 61%
Use these League One (China) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.67 vs 1.61):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (16%) |
| Double chance — Dalian K'un City or draw (1X) | 40% |
| Double chance — Nantong Zhiyun or draw (X2) | 85% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 75% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 66% / 34% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 20% / 80% |
| Dalian K'un City clean sheet | 20% |
| Nantong Zhiyun clean sheet | 51% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Nantong Zhiyun is the model's most likely outcome at
56%. Despite playing away, Nantong Zhiyun edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (55% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Dalian K'un City vs Nantong Zhiyun — FAQ
Who will win Dalian K'un City vs Nantong Zhiyun?
Our statistical model makes Nantong Zhiyun the most likely result at 56%. Full probabilities: Dalian K'un City 18%, draw 26%, Nantong Zhiyun 56%.
Will both teams score in Dalian K'un City vs Nantong Zhiyun?
The model gives a 47% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Dalian K'un City vs Nantong Zhiyun?
Expected goals are 0.67 for Dalian K'un City and 1.61 for Nantong Zhiyun — about 2.3 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Dalian K'un City vs Nantong Zhiyun?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (16%). Double chance for Dalian K'un City or draw is 40%.