Dalian Yingbo vs Liaoning Tieren Prediction & Preview
Super League (China) · Aug 08, 2026 · kickoff 11:35 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SUPER LEAGUE (CHINA)
Dalian Yingbo vs Liaoning Tieren
Model pick: Dalian Yingbo (50%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.3 – 1.58
Total goals: 2.9
Over 2.5: 54%
Both teams score: 60%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Dalian Yingbo | Liaoning Tieren |
|---|
| League position | #4 (29 pts) | #8 (24 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.9 / 1.4 | 1.1 / 1.8 |
| Win rate this season* | 70% | 11% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 1.6 | 1.75 / 1.0 |
*Dalian Yingbo shown at home, Liaoning Tieren shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Dalian Yingbo — last 5
WWDLD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 41% of the time; 29% of home games go over 2.5.
Liaoning Tieren — last 5
WDLW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Dalian Yingbo (home) | Liaoning Tieren (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 7-0-3 in 10 (1.9 / 1.4 goals per game) | 1-3-5 in 9 (1.1 / 1.8 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 41% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 29% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 29% | 0% |
| Top scorer | Cephas Malele (8) | – |
Super League (China) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.94
Home wins: 46%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 29%
Over 2.5: 56%
BTTS: 57%
Use these Super League (China) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.3 vs 1.58):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (12%) |
| Double chance — Dalian Yingbo or draw (1X) | 56% |
| Double chance — Liaoning Tieren or draw (X2) | 69% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 75% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 78% / 22% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 33% / 67% |
| Dalian Yingbo clean sheet | 21% |
| Liaoning Tieren clean sheet | 27% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Dalian Yingbo is the model's most likely outcome at
50%. Dalian Yingbo are backed at home, where they average 1.2 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (46% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Dalian Yingbo vs Liaoning Tieren — FAQ
Who will win Dalian Yingbo vs Liaoning Tieren?
Our statistical model makes Dalian Yingbo the most likely result at 50%. Full probabilities: Dalian Yingbo 50%, draw 23%, Liaoning Tieren 27%.
Will both teams score in Dalian Yingbo vs Liaoning Tieren?
The model gives a 60% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Dalian Yingbo vs Liaoning Tieren?
Expected goals are 1.3 for Dalian Yingbo and 1.58 for Liaoning Tieren — about 2.9 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Dalian Yingbo vs Liaoning Tieren?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (12%). Double chance for Dalian Yingbo or draw is 56%.