Dalian Yingbo vs Qingdao Manatee Prediction & Preview
Super League (China) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 11:35 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SUPER LEAGUE (CHINA)
Dalian Yingbo vs Qingdao Manatee
Model pick: Dalian Yingbo (56%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.81 – 0.85
Total goals: 2.7
Over 2.5: 50%
Both teams score: 51%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Dalian Yingbo | Qingdao Manatee |
|---|
| League position | #4 (37 pts) | #16 (14 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.8 / 1.2 | 1.2 / 2.5 |
| Win rate this season* | 67% | 8% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 1.0 | 0.6 / 2.6 |
*Dalian Yingbo shown at home, Qingdao Manatee shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Dalian Yingbo — last 5
WLDWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 42% of the time; 26% of home games go over 2.5.
Qingdao Manatee — last 5
LLLLL
On the road: clean sheet 12% of the time; 45% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Dalian Yingbo (home) | Qingdao Manatee (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 8-1-3 in 12 (1.8 / 1.2 goals per game) | 1-1-11 in 13 (1.2 / 2.5 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 42% | 12% |
| Both teams scored | 32% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 26% | 45% |
| Top scorer | Cephas Malele (8) | Malcom Edjouma (6) |
Super League (China) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.95
Home wins: 46%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 29%
Over 2.5: 56%
BTTS: 57%
Use these Super League (China) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.81 vs 0.85):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (13%) |
| Double chance — Dalian Yingbo or draw (1X) | 83% |
| Double chance — Qingdao Manatee or draw (X2) | 40% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 77% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 74% / 26% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 28% / 72% |
| Dalian Yingbo clean sheet | 43% |
| Qingdao Manatee clean sheet | 16% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Dalian Yingbo is the model's most likely outcome at
56%. Dalian Yingbo are backed at home, where they average 1.2 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (50% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Dalian Yingbo vs Qingdao Manatee — FAQ
Who will win Dalian Yingbo vs Qingdao Manatee?
Our statistical model makes Dalian Yingbo the most likely result at 56%. Full probabilities: Dalian Yingbo 56%, draw 24%, Qingdao Manatee 19%.
Will both teams score in Dalian Yingbo vs Qingdao Manatee?
The model gives a 51% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Dalian Yingbo vs Qingdao Manatee?
Expected goals are 1.81 for Dalian Yingbo and 0.85 for Qingdao Manatee — about 2.7 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Dalian Yingbo vs Qingdao Manatee?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (13%). Double chance for Dalian Yingbo or draw is 83%.