Darmstadt 98 vs Holstein Kiel Prediction & Preview
Bundesliga 2 (Germany) · Aug 08, 2026 · kickoff 11:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
BUNDESLIGA 2 (GERMANY)
Darmstadt 98 vs Holstein Kiel
Model pick: Darmstadt 98 (44%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.68 – 1.3
Total goals: 3.0
Over 2.5: 55%
Both teams score: 60%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Darmstadt 98 | Holstein Kiel |
|---|
| League position | #17 (0 pts) | #4 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.6 / 1.2 | 1.8 / 2.0 |
*Darmstadt 98 shown at home, Holstein Kiel shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Darmstadt 98 — last 5
LWWWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 30% of the time; 57% of home games go over 2.5.
Holstein Kiel — last 5
WWDLL
On the road: clean sheet 24% of the time; 63% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Darmstadt 98 (home) | Holstein Kiel (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 30% | 24% |
| Both teams scored | 55% | 68% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 63% |
| Top scorer | – | Phil Harres (10) |
Bundesliga 2 (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.89
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 27%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 56%
BTTS: 58%
Use these Bundesliga 2 (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.68 vs 1.3):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (11%) |
| Double chance — Darmstadt 98 or draw (1X) | 70% |
| Double chance — Holstein Kiel or draw (X2) | 54% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 76% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 80% / 20% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 35% / 65% |
| Darmstadt 98 clean sheet | 27% |
| Holstein Kiel clean sheet | 19% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Darmstadt 98 is the model's most likely outcome at
44%. Darmstadt 98 are backed at home, where they average 1.7 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.0, this shapes as an open game (55% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Darmstadt 98 vs Holstein Kiel — FAQ
Who will win Darmstadt 98 vs Holstein Kiel?
Our statistical model makes Darmstadt 98 the most likely result at 44%. Full probabilities: Darmstadt 98 44%, draw 26%, Holstein Kiel 31%.
Will both teams score in Darmstadt 98 vs Holstein Kiel?
The model gives a 60% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Darmstadt 98 vs Holstein Kiel?
Expected goals are 1.68 for Darmstadt 98 and 1.3 for Holstein Kiel — about 3.0 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Darmstadt 98 vs Holstein Kiel?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (11%). Double chance for Darmstadt 98 or draw is 70%.