Dartford vs Chatham Prediction & Preview
Non League Premier (England) · Aug 31, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NON LEAGUE PREMIER (ENGLAND)
Dartford vs Chatham
Model pick: Chatham (50%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.14 – 1.8
Total goals: 2.9
Over 2.5: 54%
Both teams score: 55%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Dartford | Chatham |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 1.2 | 2.0 / 1.6 |
*Dartford shown at home, Chatham shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Dartford — last 5
WWWWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 32% of the time; 49% of home games go over 2.5.
Chatham — last 5
LLWWW
On the road: clean sheet 50% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Dartford (home) | Chatham (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 32% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 53% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | 100% |
Non League Premier (England) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.89
Home wins: 46%
Draws: 21%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 57%
BTTS: 54%
Use these Non League Premier (England) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.14 vs 1.8):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (11%) |
| Double chance — Dartford or draw (1X) | 47% |
| Double chance — Chatham or draw (X2) | 76% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 77% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 79% / 21% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 34% / 66% |
| Dartford clean sheet | 17% |
| Chatham clean sheet | 32% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Chatham is the model's most likely outcome at
50%. Despite playing away, Chatham edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (46% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
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❓ Dartford vs Chatham — FAQ
Who will win Dartford vs Chatham?
Our statistical model makes Chatham the most likely result at 50%. Full probabilities: Dartford 25%, draw 25%, Chatham 50%.
Will both teams score in Dartford vs Chatham?
The model gives a 55% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Dartford vs Chatham?
Expected goals are 1.14 for Dartford and 1.8 for Chatham — about 2.9 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Dartford vs Chatham?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (11%). Double chance for Dartford or draw is 47%.