Dartford vs Welling United Prediction & Preview
Non League Premier (England) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NON LEAGUE PREMIER (ENGLAND)
Dartford vs Welling United
Model pick: Dartford (59%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.76 – 0.68
Total goals: 2.4
Over 2.5: 47%
Both teams score: 48%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Dartford | Welling United |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.4 / 0.6 | 2.0 / 1.6 |
*Dartford shown at home, Welling United shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Dartford — last 5
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At home: keeps a clean sheet 32% of the time; 49% of home games go over 2.5.
Welling United — last 5
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On the road: clean sheet 20% of the time; 52% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Dartford (home) | Welling United (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 32% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 54% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | 52% |
Non League Premier (England) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.69
Home wins: 47%
Draws: 22%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 50%
BTTS: 53%
Use these Non League Premier (England) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.76 vs 0.68):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (15%) |
| Double chance — Dartford or draw (1X) | 86% |
| Double chance — Welling United or draw (X2) | 37% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 77% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 70% / 30% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 23% / 77% |
| Dartford clean sheet | 51% |
| Welling United clean sheet | 17% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Dartford is the model's most likely outcome at
59%. Dartford are backed at home, where they average 1.5 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (53% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
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❓ Dartford vs Welling United — FAQ
Who will win Dartford vs Welling United?
Our statistical model makes Dartford the most likely result at 59%. Full probabilities: Dartford 59%, draw 25%, Welling United 16%.
Will both teams score in Dartford vs Welling United?
The model gives a 48% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Dartford vs Welling United?
Expected goals are 1.76 for Dartford and 0.68 for Welling United — about 2.4 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Dartford vs Welling United?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (15%). Double chance for Dartford or draw is 86%.