Debrecen II vs Tiszaujvaros Prediction & Preview
Nb III (Hungary) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NB III (HUNGARY)
Debrecen II vs Tiszaujvaros
Model pick: Debrecen II (76%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 3.85 – 1.32
Total goals: 5.2
Over 2.5: 77%
Both teams score: 63%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Debrecen II | Tiszaujvaros |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 2.4 | 1.6 / 0.6 |
*Debrecen II shown at home, Tiszaujvaros shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Debrecen II — last 5
LLDWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Tiszaujvaros — last 5
LWWWW
On the road: clean sheet 50% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Debrecen II (home) | Tiszaujvaros (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 50% |
Nb III (Hungary) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.51
Home wins: 51%
Draws: 18%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 68%
BTTS: 55%
Use these Nb III (Hungary) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (3.85 vs 1.32):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 3-1 (7%) |
| Double chance — Debrecen II or draw (1X) | 92% |
| Double chance — Tiszaujvaros or draw (X2) | 19% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 90% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 96% / 4% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 75% / 25% |
| Debrecen II clean sheet | 27% |
| Tiszaujvaros clean sheet | 2% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Debrecen II is the model's most likely outcome at
76%. Debrecen II are backed at home, where they average 3.7 goals a game. With expected goals of 5.2, this shapes as an open game (77% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Debrecen II vs Tiszaujvaros — FAQ
Who will win Debrecen II vs Tiszaujvaros?
Our statistical model makes Debrecen II the most likely result at 76%. Full probabilities: Debrecen II 76%, draw 13%, Tiszaujvaros 11%.
Will both teams score in Debrecen II vs Tiszaujvaros?
The model gives a 63% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Debrecen II vs Tiszaujvaros?
Expected goals are 3.85 for Debrecen II and 1.32 for Tiszaujvaros — about 5.2 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Debrecen II vs Tiszaujvaros?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 3-1 (7%). Double chance for Debrecen II or draw is 92%.