Debrecen vs Győri ETO Prediction & Preview
NB I (Hungary) · Aug 15, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NB I (HUNGARY)
Debrecen vs Győri ETO
Model pick: Győri ETO (46%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.09 – 1.59
Total goals: 2.7
Over 2.5: 51%
Both teams score: 54%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Debrecen | Győri ETO |
|---|
| League position | #8 (3 pts) | #4 (4 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 0.5 / 1.0 | 2.0 / 2.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 50% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.6 / 1.8 | 2.6 / 1.2 |
*Debrecen shown at home, Győri ETO shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Debrecen — last 5
LDLLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 26% of the time; 56% of home games go over 2.5.
Győri ETO — last 5
WDDWL
On the road: clean sheet 27% of the time; 57% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Debrecen (home) | Győri ETO (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-0-1 in 2 (0.5 / 1.0 goals per game) | 0-1-0 in 1 (2.0 / 2.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 26% | 27% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 68% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 57% |
NB I (Hungary) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.82
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 55%
BTTS: 56%
Use these NB I (Hungary) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.09 vs 1.59):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (12%) |
| Double chance — Debrecen or draw (1X) | 51% |
| Double chance — Győri ETO or draw (X2) | 74% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 75% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 75% / 25% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 28% / 72% |
| Debrecen clean sheet | 20% |
| Győri ETO clean sheet | 34% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Győri ETO is the model's most likely outcome at
46%. Despite playing away, Győri ETO edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (49% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Debrecen vs Győri ETO — FAQ
Who will win Debrecen vs Győri ETO?
Our statistical model makes Győri ETO the most likely result at 46%. Full probabilities: Debrecen 27%, draw 26%, Győri ETO 46%.
Will both teams score in Debrecen vs Győri ETO?
The model gives a 54% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Debrecen vs Győri ETO?
Expected goals are 1.09 for Debrecen and 1.59 for Győri ETO — about 2.7 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Debrecen vs Győri ETO?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (12%). Double chance for Debrecen or draw is 51%.