Debrecen vs Nyíregyháza Spartacus Prediction & Preview
NB I (Hungary) · Aug 08, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NB I (HUNGARY)
Debrecen vs Nyíregyháza Spartacus
Model pick: Debrecen (51%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.86 – 1.12
Total goals: 3.0
Over 2.5: 55%
Both teams score: 56%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Debrecen | Nyíregyháza Spartacus |
|---|
| League position | #12 (0 pts) | #7 (3 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 0.0 / 2.0 | 0.0 / 4.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.8 / 1.2 | 1.8 / 1.4 |
*Debrecen shown at home, Nyíregyháza Spartacus shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Debrecen — last 5
WWLDL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 26% of the time; 56% of home games go over 2.5.
Nyíregyháza Spartacus — last 5
WWDWL
On the road: clean sheet 20% of the time; 60% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Debrecen (home) | Nyíregyháza Spartacus (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-0-1 in 1 (0.0 / 2.0 goals per game) | 0-0-1 in 1 (0.0 / 4.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 26% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 51% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 60% |
NB I (Hungary) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.82
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 55%
BTTS: 56%
Use these NB I (Hungary) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.86 vs 1.12):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (11%) |
| Double chance — Debrecen or draw (1X) | 77% |
| Double chance — Nyíregyháza Spartacus or draw (X2) | 45% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 77% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 80% / 20% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 35% / 65% |
| Debrecen clean sheet | 33% |
| Nyíregyháza Spartacus clean sheet | 16% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Debrecen is the model's most likely outcome at
51%. Debrecen are backed at home, where they average 1.6 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.0, this shapes as an open game (55% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Debrecen vs Nyíregyháza Spartacus — FAQ
Who will win Debrecen vs Nyíregyháza Spartacus?
Our statistical model makes Debrecen the most likely result at 51%. Full probabilities: Debrecen 51%, draw 24%, Nyíregyháza Spartacus 24%.
Will both teams score in Debrecen vs Nyíregyháza Spartacus?
The model gives a 56% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Debrecen vs Nyíregyháza Spartacus?
Expected goals are 1.86 for Debrecen and 1.12 for Nyíregyháza Spartacus — about 3.0 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Debrecen vs Nyíregyháza Spartacus?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (11%). Double chance for Debrecen or draw is 77%.