Debrecen vs Puskás Prediction & Preview
NB I (Hungary) · Jul 26, 2026 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NB I (HUNGARY)
Debrecen vs Puskás
Model pick: Debrecen (37%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.38 – 1.34
Total goals: 2.7
Over 2.5: 51%
Both teams score: 55%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Debrecen | Puskás |
|---|
| League position | #4 (0 pts) | #11 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 1.0 | 1.4 / 1.2 |
*Debrecen shown at home, Puskás shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Debrecen — last 5
WDLWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 26% of the time; 56% of home games go over 2.5.
Puskás — last 5
WDWDL
On the road: clean sheet 25% of the time; 52% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Debrecen (home) | Puskás (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 26% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 61% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 52% |
NB I (Hungary) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.81
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 55%
BTTS: 56%
Use these NB I (Hungary) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.38 vs 1.34):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (12%) |
| Double chance — Debrecen or draw (1X) | 64% |
| Double chance — Puskás or draw (X2) | 62% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 74% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 75% / 25% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 29% / 71% |
| Debrecen clean sheet | 26% |
| Puskás clean sheet | 25% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Debrecen is the model's most likely outcome at
37%. Debrecen are backed at home, where they average 1.6 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (49% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Debrecen vs Puskás — FAQ
Who will win Debrecen vs Puskás?
Our statistical model makes Debrecen the most likely result at 37%. Full probabilities: Debrecen 37%, draw 27%, Puskás 36%.
Will both teams score in Debrecen vs Puskás?
The model gives a 55% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Debrecen vs Puskás?
Expected goals are 1.38 for Debrecen and 1.34 for Puskás — about 2.7 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Debrecen vs Puskás?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (12%). Double chance for Debrecen or draw is 64%.