Debreceni EAC vs Tarpa Prediction & Preview
Nb III (Hungary) · Aug 12, 2026 · kickoff 15:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NB III (HUNGARY)
Debreceni EAC vs Tarpa
Model pick: Debreceni EAC (84%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 4.59 – 1.21
Total goals: 5.8
Over 2.5: 80%
Both teams score: 62%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Debreceni EAC | Tarpa |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 1.33 | 2.0 / 1.0 |
*Debreceni EAC shown at home, Tarpa shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Debreceni EAC — last 5
LWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Tarpa — last 5
W
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Debreceni EAC (home) | Tarpa (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 0% |
Nb III (Hungary) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.7
Home wins: 51%
Draws: 20%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 74%
BTTS: 64%
Use these Nb III (Hungary) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (4.59 vs 1.21):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 4-1 (7%) |
| Double chance — Debreceni EAC or draw (1X) | 95% |
| Double chance — Tarpa or draw (X2) | 11% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 93% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 98% / 2% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 82% / 18% |
| Debreceni EAC clean sheet | 30% |
| Tarpa clean sheet | 1% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Debreceni EAC is the model's most likely outcome at
84%. Debreceni EAC are backed at home, where they average 0.0 goals a game. With expected goals of 5.8, this shapes as an open game (80% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Debreceni EAC vs Tarpa — FAQ
Who will win Debreceni EAC vs Tarpa?
Our statistical model makes Debreceni EAC the most likely result at 84%. Full probabilities: Debreceni EAC 84%, draw 9%, Tarpa 6%.
Will both teams score in Debreceni EAC vs Tarpa?
The model gives a 62% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Debreceni EAC vs Tarpa?
Expected goals are 4.59 for Debreceni EAC and 1.21 for Tarpa — about 5.8 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Debreceni EAC vs Tarpa?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 4-1 (7%). Double chance for Debreceni EAC or draw is 95%.