Defensores de Belgrano vs Los Andes Prediction & Preview
Argentino B (Argentina) · Sep 09, 2026 · kickoff 18:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
ARGENTINO B (ARGENTINA)
Defensores de Belgrano vs Los Andes
Model pick: Draw (44%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
38%
Defensores de Belgrano
Expected goals: 0.65 – 0.33
Total goals: 1.0
Over 2.5: 20%
Both teams score: 31%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Defensores de Belgrano | Los Andes |
|---|
| League position | #17 (26 pts) | #10 (34 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 0.6 / 0.9 | 0.8 / 0.8 |
| Win rate this season* | 17% | 33% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.4 / 1.2 | 0.2 / 1.4 |
*Defensores de Belgrano shown at home, Los Andes shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Defensores de Belgrano — last 5
DLDLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 33% of the time; 39% of home games go over 2.5.
Los Andes — last 5
LLLLD
On the road: clean sheet 30% of the time; 27% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Defensores de Belgrano (home) | Los Andes (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 2-7-3 in 12 (0.6 / 0.9 goals per game) | 4-3-5 in 12 (0.8 / 0.8 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 33% | 30% |
| Both teams scored | 55% | 39% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 39% | 27% |
Argentino B (Argentina) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.08
Home wins: 52%
Draws: 29%
Away wins: 19%
Over 2.5: 36%
BTTS: 42%
Use these Argentino B (Argentina) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.65 vs 0.33):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (38%) |
| Double chance — Defensores de Belgrano or draw (1X) | 84% |
| Double chance — Los Andes or draw (X2) | 62% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 54% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 26% / 74% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 2% / 98% |
| Defensores de Belgrano clean sheet | 72% |
| Los Andes clean sheet | 52% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Draw is the model's most likely outcome at
44%. The model sees no clear favourite — a draw is live. Goals may be harder to come by (80% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Defensores de Belgrano vs Los Andes — FAQ
Who will win Defensores de Belgrano vs Los Andes?
Our statistical model makes Draw the most likely result at 44%. Full probabilities: Defensores de Belgrano 38%, draw 44%, Los Andes 18%.
Will both teams score in Defensores de Belgrano vs Los Andes?
The model gives a 31% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Defensores de Belgrano vs Los Andes?
Expected goals are 0.65 for Defensores de Belgrano and 0.33 for Los Andes — about 1.0 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Defensores de Belgrano vs Los Andes?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (38%). Double chance for Defensores de Belgrano or draw is 84%.