Degerfors vs Halmstad Prediction & Preview
Allsvenskan (Sweden) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 13:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
ALLSVENSKAN (SWEDEN)
Degerfors vs Halmstad
Model pick: Degerfors (48%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.39 – 0.97
Total goals: 2.4
Over 2.5: 46%
Both teams score: 52%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Degerfors | Halmstad |
|---|
| League position | #14 (16 pts) | #16 (11 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.0 / 1.6 | 0.7 / 2.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 22% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 1.2 | 0.8 / 1.0 |
*Degerfors shown at home, Halmstad shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Degerfors — last 5
WWWLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 26% of the time; 54% of home games go over 2.5.
Halmstad — last 5
LLDWW
On the road: clean sheet 29% of the time; 45% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Degerfors (home) | Halmstad (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 2-2-5 in 9 (1.0 / 1.6 goals per game) | 0-3-6 in 9 (0.7 / 2.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 26% | 29% |
| Both teams scored | 54% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 45% |
Allsvenskan (Sweden) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.81
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 54%
BTTS: 54%
Use these Allsvenskan (Sweden) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.39 vs 0.97):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (13%) |
| Double chance — Degerfors or draw (1X) | 74% |
| Double chance — Halmstad or draw (X2) | 53% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 73% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 68% / 32% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 21% / 79% |
| Degerfors clean sheet | 38% |
| Halmstad clean sheet | 25% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Degerfors is the model's most likely outcome at
48%. Degerfors are backed at home, where they average 1.5 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (54% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Degerfors vs Halmstad — FAQ
Who will win Degerfors vs Halmstad?
Our statistical model makes Degerfors the most likely result at 48%. Full probabilities: Degerfors 48%, draw 27%, Halmstad 25%.
Will both teams score in Degerfors vs Halmstad?
The model gives a 52% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Degerfors vs Halmstad?
Expected goals are 1.39 for Degerfors and 0.97 for Halmstad — about 2.4 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Degerfors vs Halmstad?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (13%). Double chance for Degerfors or draw is 74%.