Delmenhorst vs Emden Prediction & Preview
Regionalliga (Germany) · Aug 26, 2026 · kickoff 17:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
REGIONALLIGA (GERMANY)
Delmenhorst vs Emden
Model pick: Delmenhorst (64%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.6 – 1.13
Total goals: 3.7
Over 2.5: 64%
Both teams score: 58%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Delmenhorst | Emden |
|---|
| League position | #7 (7 pts) | #12 (4 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 2.0 / 0.0 | 3.0 / 5.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 100% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 1.2 | 2.4 / 3.8 |
*Delmenhorst shown at home, Emden shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Delmenhorst — last 5
WDWLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 25% of the time; 75% of home games go over 2.5.
Emden — last 5
LDWLL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Delmenhorst (home) | Emden (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-0-0 in 1 (2.0 / 0.0 goals per game) | 0-1-1 in 2 (3.0 / 5.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 25% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 75% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% | 100% |
Regionalliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.31
Home wins: 38%
Draws: 28%
Away wins: 35%
Over 2.5: 64%
BTTS: 65%
Use these Regionalliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.6 vs 1.13):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-1 (9%) |
| Double chance — Delmenhorst or draw (1X) | 86% |
| Double chance — Emden or draw (X2) | 31% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 83% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 89% / 11% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 51% / 49% |
| Delmenhorst clean sheet | 32% |
| Emden clean sheet | 7% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Delmenhorst is the model's most likely outcome at
64%. Delmenhorst are backed at home, where they average 2.8 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.7, this shapes as an open game (64% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Delmenhorst vs Emden — FAQ
Who will win Delmenhorst vs Emden?
Our statistical model makes Delmenhorst the most likely result at 64%. Full probabilities: Delmenhorst 64%, draw 19%, Emden 17%.
Will both teams score in Delmenhorst vs Emden?
The model gives a 58% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Delmenhorst vs Emden?
Expected goals are 2.6 for Delmenhorst and 1.13 for Emden — about 3.7 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Delmenhorst vs Emden?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-1 (9%). Double chance for Delmenhorst or draw is 86%.