Delmenhorst vs Lübeck Prediction & Preview
Regionalliga (Germany) · Aug 08, 2026 · kickoff 13:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
REGIONALLIGA (GERMANY)
Delmenhorst vs Lübeck
Model pick: Lübeck (38%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.37 – 1.45
Total goals: 2.8
Over 2.5: 53%
Both teams score: 56%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Delmenhorst | Lübeck |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.75 / 1.75 | 1.4 / 0.4 |
*Delmenhorst shown at home, Lübeck shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Delmenhorst — last 5
WLWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Lübeck — last 5
LWWDD
On the road: clean sheet 13% of the time; 54% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Delmenhorst (home) | Lübeck (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 13% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 59% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 54% |
Regionalliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.35
Home wins: 37%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 38%
Over 2.5: 63%
BTTS: 55%
Use these Regionalliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.37 vs 1.45):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (12%) |
| Double chance — Delmenhorst or draw (1X) | 61% |
| Double chance — Lübeck or draw (X2) | 64% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 75% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 77% / 23% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 31% / 69% |
| Delmenhorst clean sheet | 23% |
| Lübeck clean sheet | 25% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Lübeck is the model's most likely outcome at
38%. Despite playing away, Lübeck edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (47% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Delmenhorst vs Lübeck — FAQ
Who will win Delmenhorst vs Lübeck?
Our statistical model makes Lübeck the most likely result at 38%. Full probabilities: Delmenhorst 35%, draw 26%, Lübeck 38%.
Will both teams score in Delmenhorst vs Lübeck?
The model gives a 56% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Delmenhorst vs Lübeck?
Expected goals are 1.37 for Delmenhorst and 1.45 for Lübeck — about 2.8 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Delmenhorst vs Lübeck?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (12%). Double chance for Delmenhorst or draw is 61%.