Delmenhorst vs Todesfelde Prediction & Preview
Regionalliga (Germany) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 13:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
REGIONALLIGA (GERMANY)
Delmenhorst vs Todesfelde
Model pick: Delmenhorst (49%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.15 – 1.53
Total goals: 3.7
Over 2.5: 63%
Both teams score: 62%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Delmenhorst | Todesfelde |
|---|
| League position | #11 (8 pts) | #10 (8 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 2.5 / 1.5 | 1.0 / 2.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 50% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 1.4 | 1.6 / 2.2 |
*Delmenhorst shown at home, Todesfelde shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Delmenhorst — last 5
WLWDL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 20% of the time; 80% of home games go over 2.5.
Todesfelde — last 5
DDLLW
On the road: clean sheet 40% of the time; 40% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Delmenhorst (home) | Todesfelde (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-1-0 in 2 (2.5 / 1.5 goals per game) | 0-1-1 in 2 (1.0 / 2.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 20% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 40% |
Regionalliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.25
Home wins: 34%
Draws: 30%
Away wins: 35%
Over 2.5: 63%
BTTS: 64%
Use these Regionalliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.15 vs 1.53):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-1 (9%) |
| Double chance — Delmenhorst or draw (1X) | 73% |
| Double chance — Todesfelde or draw (X2) | 48% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 79% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 88% / 12% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 50% / 50% |
| Delmenhorst clean sheet | 22% |
| Todesfelde clean sheet | 12% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Delmenhorst is the model's most likely outcome at
49%. Delmenhorst are backed at home, where they average 2.8 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.7, this shapes as an open game (63% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Delmenhorst vs Todesfelde — FAQ
Who will win Delmenhorst vs Todesfelde?
Our statistical model makes Delmenhorst the most likely result at 49%. Full probabilities: Delmenhorst 49%, draw 22%, Todesfelde 28%.
Will both teams score in Delmenhorst vs Todesfelde?
The model gives a 62% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Delmenhorst vs Todesfelde?
Expected goals are 2.15 for Delmenhorst and 1.53 for Todesfelde — about 3.7 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Delmenhorst vs Todesfelde?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-1 (9%). Double chance for Delmenhorst or draw is 73%.