Deportivo Camioneros vs Argentino Quilmes Prediction & Preview
Prim B Metro (Argentina) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 20:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
PRIM B METRO (ARGENTINA)
Deportivo Camioneros vs Argentino Quilmes
Model pick: Deportivo Camioneros (63%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.7 – 0.48
Total goals: 2.2
Over 2.5: 43%
Both teams score: 43%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Deportivo Camioneros | Argentino Quilmes |
|---|
| League position | #3 (60 pts) | #16 (37 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.2 / 0.7 | 0.9 / 1.1 |
| Win rate this season* | 56% | 25% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 0.6 | 0.6 / 1.0 |
*Deportivo Camioneros shown at home, Argentino Quilmes shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Deportivo Camioneros — last 5
DWDDW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 100% of the time; 20% of home games go over 2.5.
Argentino Quilmes — last 5
DDWLL
On the road: clean sheet 26% of the time; 41% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Deportivo Camioneros (home) | Argentino Quilmes (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 9-3-4 in 16 (1.2 / 0.7 goals per game) | 4-6-6 in 16 (0.9 / 1.1 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 100% | 26% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 49% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 20% | 41% |
Prim B Metro (Argentina) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.06
Home wins: 39%
Draws: 33%
Away wins: 28%
Over 2.5: 35%
BTTS: 43%
Use these Prim B Metro (Argentina) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.7 vs 0.48):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (19%) |
| Double chance — Deportivo Camioneros or draw (1X) | 90% |
| Double chance — Argentino Quilmes or draw (X2) | 33% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 77% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 64% / 36% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 18% / 82% |
| Deportivo Camioneros clean sheet | 62% |
| Argentino Quilmes clean sheet | 18% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Deportivo Camioneros is the model's most likely outcome at
63%. Deportivo Camioneros are backed at home, where they average 1.8 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (57% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Deportivo Camioneros vs Argentino Quilmes — FAQ
Who will win Deportivo Camioneros vs Argentino Quilmes?
Our statistical model makes Deportivo Camioneros the most likely result at 63%. Full probabilities: Deportivo Camioneros 63%, draw 25%, Argentino Quilmes 12%.
Will both teams score in Deportivo Camioneros vs Argentino Quilmes?
The model gives a 43% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Deportivo Camioneros vs Argentino Quilmes?
Expected goals are 1.7 for Deportivo Camioneros and 0.48 for Argentino Quilmes — about 2.2 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Deportivo Camioneros vs Argentino Quilmes?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (19%). Double chance for Deportivo Camioneros or draw is 90%.