Deportivo Garcilaso vs Cusco Prediction & Preview
Primera Division (Peru) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 20:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
PRIMERA DIVISION (PERU)
Deportivo Garcilaso vs Cusco
Model pick: Deportivo Garcilaso (42%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.4 – 1.09
Total goals: 2.5
Over 2.5: 48%
Both teams score: 52%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Deportivo Garcilaso | Cusco |
|---|
| League position | #7 (26 pts) | #6 (30 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 0.4 | 2.4 / 1.4 |
*Deportivo Garcilaso shown at home, Cusco shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Deportivo Garcilaso — last 5
LWWWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 36% of the time; 49% of home games go over 2.5.
Cusco — last 5
WLWLW
On the road: clean sheet 13% of the time; 58% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Deportivo Garcilaso (home) | Cusco (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 36% | 13% |
| Both teams scored | 47% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | 58% |
| Top scorer | Christopher Olivares (6) | – |
Primera Division (Peru) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.65
Home wins: 49%
Draws: 27%
Away wins: 25%
Over 2.5: 49%
BTTS: 52%
Use these Primera Division (Peru) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.4 vs 1.09):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (13%) |
| Double chance — Deportivo Garcilaso or draw (1X) | 71% |
| Double chance — Cusco or draw (X2) | 56% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 73% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 71% / 29% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 24% / 76% |
| Deportivo Garcilaso clean sheet | 34% |
| Cusco clean sheet | 25% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Deportivo Garcilaso is the model's most likely outcome at
42%. Deportivo Garcilaso are backed at home, where they average 1.5 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (52% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Deportivo Garcilaso vs Cusco — FAQ
Who will win Deportivo Garcilaso vs Cusco?
Our statistical model makes Deportivo Garcilaso the most likely result at 42%. Full probabilities: Deportivo Garcilaso 42%, draw 28%, Cusco 30%.
Will both teams score in Deportivo Garcilaso vs Cusco?
The model gives a 52% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Deportivo Garcilaso vs Cusco?
Expected goals are 1.4 for Deportivo Garcilaso and 1.09 for Cusco — about 2.5 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Deportivo Garcilaso vs Cusco?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (13%). Double chance for Deportivo Garcilaso or draw is 71%.