Deportivo La Coruña II vs Cacereño Prediction & Preview
Segunda B (Spain) · Sep 06, 2026 · kickoff 10:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SEGUNDA B (SPAIN)
Deportivo La Coruña II vs Cacereño
Model pick: Cacereño (38%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
27%
Deportivo La Coruña II
Expected goals: 0.67 – 0.88
Total goals: 1.6
Over 2.5: 32%
Both teams score: 42%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Deportivo La Coruña II | Cacereño |
|---|
| League position | #6 (0 pts) | #13 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.6 / 1.6 | 1.2 / 0.4 |
*Deportivo La Coruña II shown at home, Cacereño shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Deportivo La Coruña II — last 5
LLLDL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 44% of the time; 46% of home games go over 2.5.
Cacereño — last 5
WWWLW
On the road: clean sheet 36% of the time; 36% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Deportivo La Coruña II (home) | Cacereño (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 44% | 36% |
| Both teams scored | 42% | 46% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 36% |
Segunda B (Spain) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.26
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 30%
Away wins: 26%
Over 2.5: 40%
BTTS: 46%
Use these Segunda B (Spain) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.67 vs 0.88):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (21%) |
| Double chance — Deportivo La Coruña II or draw (1X) | 62% |
| Double chance — Cacereño or draw (X2) | 74% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 64% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 46% / 54% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 7% / 93% |
| Deportivo La Coruña II clean sheet | 41% |
| Cacereño clean sheet | 51% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Cacereño is the model's most likely outcome at
38%. Despite playing away, Cacereño edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (68% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Deportivo La Coruña II vs Cacereño — FAQ
Who will win Deportivo La Coruña II vs Cacereño?
Our statistical model makes Cacereño the most likely result at 38%. Full probabilities: Deportivo La Coruña II 27%, draw 35%, Cacereño 38%.
Will both teams score in Deportivo La Coruña II vs Cacereño?
The model gives a 42% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Deportivo La Coruña II vs Cacereño?
Expected goals are 0.67 for Deportivo La Coruña II and 0.88 for Cacereño — about 1.6 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Deportivo La Coruña II vs Cacereño?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (21%). Double chance for Deportivo La Coruña II or draw is 62%.