Deportivo La Guaira vs Anzoategui FC Prediction & Preview
Primera Division (Venezuela) · Sep 06, 2026 · kickoff 23:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
PRIMERA DIVISION (VENEZUELA)
Deportivo La Guaira vs Anzoategui FC
Model pick: Deportivo La Guaira (64%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.09 – 0.72
Total goals: 2.8
Over 2.5: 52%
Both teams score: 50%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Deportivo La Guaira | Anzoategui FC |
|---|
| League position | #4 (3 pts) | #13 (13 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.0 / 1.7 | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.8 / 1.2 | 0.6 / 1.8 |
*Deportivo La Guaira shown at home, Anzoategui FC shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Deportivo La Guaira — last 5
WWWLD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 40% of the time; 46% of home games go over 2.5.
Anzoategui FC — last 5
LDDLL
On the road: clean sheet 15% of the time; 55% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Deportivo La Guaira (home) | Anzoategui FC (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-2-1 in 3 (1.0 / 1.7 goals per game) | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 40% | 15% |
| Both teams scored | 51% | 55% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 55% |
| Top scorer | Flabian Londono (2) | – |
Primera Division (Venezuela) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.47
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 30%
Away wins: 27%
Over 2.5: 46%
BTTS: 51%
Use these Primera Division (Venezuela) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.09 vs 0.72):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-0 (13%) |
| Double chance — Deportivo La Guaira or draw (1X) | 88% |
| Double chance — Anzoategui FC or draw (X2) | 31% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 81% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 77% / 23% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 31% / 69% |
| Deportivo La Guaira clean sheet | 49% |
| Anzoategui FC clean sheet | 12% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Deportivo La Guaira is the model's most likely outcome at
64%. Deportivo La Guaira are backed at home, where they average 1.6 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (48% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Deportivo La Guaira vs Anzoategui FC — FAQ
Who will win Deportivo La Guaira vs Anzoategui FC?
Our statistical model makes Deportivo La Guaira the most likely result at 64%. Full probabilities: Deportivo La Guaira 64%, draw 22%, Anzoategui FC 14%.
Will both teams score in Deportivo La Guaira vs Anzoategui FC?
The model gives a 50% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Deportivo La Guaira vs Anzoategui FC?
Expected goals are 2.09 for Deportivo La Guaira and 0.72 for Anzoategui FC — about 2.8 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Deportivo La Guaira vs Anzoategui FC?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-0 (13%). Double chance for Deportivo La Guaira or draw is 88%.