Deportivo Madryn vs CA Mitre Prediction & Preview
Argentino B (Argentina) · Aug 21, 2026 · kickoff 22:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
ARGENTINO B (ARGENTINA)
Deportivo Madryn vs CA Mitre
Model pick: Deportivo Madryn (59%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.7 – 0.62
Total goals: 2.3
Over 2.5: 46%
Both teams score: 46%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Deportivo Madryn | CA Mitre |
|---|
| League position | #6 (36 pts) | #11 (28 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.5 / 0.9 | 0.8 / 1.2 |
| Win rate this season* | 45% | 8% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 0.8 | 1.2 / 0.4 |
*Deportivo Madryn shown at home, CA Mitre shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Deportivo Madryn — last 5
LDDWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 50% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
CA Mitre — last 5
WDWWD
On the road: clean sheet 50% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Deportivo Madryn (home) | CA Mitre (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 5-4-2 in 11 (1.5 / 0.9 goals per game) | 1-7-4 in 12 (0.8 / 1.2 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 50% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 50% |
Argentino B (Argentina) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.14
Home wins: 52%
Draws: 28%
Away wins: 20%
Over 2.5: 35%
BTTS: 46%
Use these Argentino B (Argentina) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.7 vs 0.62):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (17%) |
| Double chance — Deportivo Madryn or draw (1X) | 87% |
| Double chance — CA Mitre or draw (X2) | 36% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 77% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 67% / 33% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 20% / 80% |
| Deportivo Madryn clean sheet | 54% |
| CA Mitre clean sheet | 18% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Deportivo Madryn is the model's most likely outcome at
59%. Deportivo Madryn are backed at home, where they average 1.5 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (54% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Deportivo Madryn vs CA Mitre — FAQ
Who will win Deportivo Madryn vs CA Mitre?
Our statistical model makes Deportivo Madryn the most likely result at 59%. Full probabilities: Deportivo Madryn 59%, draw 25%, CA Mitre 16%.
Will both teams score in Deportivo Madryn vs CA Mitre?
The model gives a 46% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Deportivo Madryn vs CA Mitre?
Expected goals are 1.7 for Deportivo Madryn and 0.62 for CA Mitre — about 2.3 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Deportivo Madryn vs CA Mitre?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (17%). Double chance for Deportivo Madryn or draw is 87%.