Deportivo Pereira vs Millonarios Prediction & Preview
Primera Division (Colombia) · Sep 06, 2026 · kickoff 23:10 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
PRIMERA DIVISION (COLOMBIA)
Deportivo Pereira vs Millonarios
Model pick: Millonarios (39%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.0 – 1.18
Total goals: 2.2
Over 2.5: 43%
Both teams score: 49%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Deportivo Pereira | Millonarios |
|---|
| League position | #20 (10 pts) | #10 (26 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.4 / 1.2 | 1.2 / 0.2 |
*Deportivo Pereira shown at home, Millonarios shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Deportivo Pereira — last 5
LLDDW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 36% of the time; 39% of home games go over 2.5.
Millonarios — last 5
WWDWD
On the road: clean sheet 28% of the time; 40% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Deportivo Pereira (home) | Millonarios (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 36% | 28% |
| Both teams scored | 51% | 53% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 39% | 40% |
| Top scorer | Yuber Quinones (4) | Rodrigo Contreras (8) |
Primera Division (Colombia) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.27
Home wins: 46%
Draws: 30%
Away wins: 24%
Over 2.5: 40%
BTTS: 47%
Use these Primera Division (Colombia) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.0 vs 1.18):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (13%) |
| Double chance — Deportivo Pereira or draw (1X) | 60% |
| Double chance — Millonarios or draw (X2) | 69% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 71% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 64% / 36% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 18% / 82% |
| Deportivo Pereira clean sheet | 31% |
| Millonarios clean sheet | 37% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Millonarios is the model's most likely outcome at
39%. Despite playing away, Millonarios edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (57% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Deportivo Pereira vs Millonarios — FAQ
Who will win Deportivo Pereira vs Millonarios?
Our statistical model makes Millonarios the most likely result at 39%. Full probabilities: Deportivo Pereira 31%, draw 30%, Millonarios 39%.
Will both teams score in Deportivo Pereira vs Millonarios?
The model gives a 49% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Deportivo Pereira vs Millonarios?
Expected goals are 1.0 for Deportivo Pereira and 1.18 for Millonarios — about 2.2 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Deportivo Pereira vs Millonarios?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (13%). Double chance for Deportivo Pereira or draw is 60%.