Deportivo Rincon vs Costa Brava Prediction & Preview
Argentino A (Argentina) · Sep 06, 2026 · kickoff 20:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
ARGENTINO A (ARGENTINA)
Deportivo Rincon vs Costa Brava
Model pick: Deportivo Rincon (55%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.35 – 0.47
Total goals: 1.8
Over 2.5: 38%
Both teams score: 41%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Deportivo Rincon | Costa Brava |
|---|
| League position | #9 (16 pts) | #6 (18 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 0.9 / 0.6 | 0.2 / 0.9 |
| Win rate this season* | 50% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 0.6 | 0.8 / 0.6 |
*Deportivo Rincon shown at home, Costa Brava shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Deportivo Rincon — last 5
WDLWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 75% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Costa Brava — last 5
DDWWL
On the road: clean sheet 50% of the time; 25% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Deportivo Rincon (home) | Costa Brava (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 4-1-3 in 8 (0.9 / 0.6 goals per game) | 0-5-3 in 8 (0.2 / 0.9 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 75% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 25% |
Argentino A (Argentina) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 1.95
Home wins: 47%
Draws: 32%
Away wins: 21%
Over 2.5: 34%
BTTS: 35%
Use these Argentino A (Argentina) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.35 vs 0.47):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (22%) |
| Double chance — Deportivo Rincon or draw (1X) | 87% |
| Double chance — Costa Brava or draw (X2) | 41% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 72% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 54% / 46% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 11% / 89% |
| Deportivo Rincon clean sheet | 63% |
| Costa Brava clean sheet | 26% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Deportivo Rincon is the model's most likely outcome at
55%. Deportivo Rincon are backed at home, where they average 0.8 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (62% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Deportivo Rincon vs Costa Brava — FAQ
Who will win Deportivo Rincon vs Costa Brava?
Our statistical model makes Deportivo Rincon the most likely result at 55%. Full probabilities: Deportivo Rincon 55%, draw 30%, Costa Brava 15%.
Will both teams score in Deportivo Rincon vs Costa Brava?
The model gives a 41% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Deportivo Rincon vs Costa Brava?
Expected goals are 1.35 for Deportivo Rincon and 0.47 for Costa Brava — about 1.8 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Deportivo Rincon vs Costa Brava?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (22%). Double chance for Deportivo Rincon or draw is 87%.