Deportivo Santaní vs Atl. Tembetary Prediction & Preview
Division Intermedia (Paraguay) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 13:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
DIVISION INTERMEDIA (PARAGUAY)
Deportivo Santaní vs Atl. Tembetary
Model pick: Deportivo Santaní (85%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 3.92 – 0.82
Total goals: 4.7
Over 2.5: 73%
Both teams score: 54%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Deportivo Santaní | Atl. Tembetary |
|---|
| League position | #3 (39 pts) | #8 (26 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.3 / 0.8 | 1.2 / 1.4 |
| Win rate this season* | 60% | 30% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.4 / 0.8 | 1.2 / 1.8 |
*Deportivo Santaní shown at home, Atl. Tembetary shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Deportivo Santaní — last 5
WWWWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 22% of the time; 41% of home games go over 2.5.
Atl. Tembetary — last 5
DLWLW
On the road: clean sheet 19% of the time; 31% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Deportivo Santaní (home) | Atl. Tembetary (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 6-1-3 in 10 (1.3 / 0.8 goals per game) | 3-2-5 in 10 (1.2 / 1.4 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 22% | 19% |
| Both teams scored | 52% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 41% | 31% |
Division Intermedia (Paraguay) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.42
Home wins: 36%
Draws: 34%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 42%
BTTS: 58%
Use these Division Intermedia (Paraguay) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (3.92 vs 0.82):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 3-0 (9%) |
| Double chance — Deportivo Santaní or draw (1X) | 96% |
| Double chance — Atl. Tembetary or draw (X2) | 11% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 93% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 95% / 5% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 69% / 31% |
| Deportivo Santaní clean sheet | 44% |
| Atl. Tembetary clean sheet | 2% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Deportivo Santaní is the model's most likely outcome at
85%. Deportivo Santaní are backed at home, where they average 1.0 goals a game. With expected goals of 4.7, this shapes as an open game (73% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Deportivo Santaní vs Atl. Tembetary — FAQ
Who will win Deportivo Santaní vs Atl. Tembetary?
Our statistical model makes Deportivo Santaní the most likely result at 85%. Full probabilities: Deportivo Santaní 85%, draw 10%, Atl. Tembetary 6%.
Will both teams score in Deportivo Santaní vs Atl. Tembetary?
The model gives a 54% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Deportivo Santaní vs Atl. Tembetary?
Expected goals are 3.92 for Deportivo Santaní and 0.82 for Atl. Tembetary — about 4.7 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Deportivo Santaní vs Atl. Tembetary?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 3-0 (9%). Double chance for Deportivo Santaní or draw is 96%.