Deutschlandsberger vs Hartberg Prediction & Preview
Regionalliga (Austria) · Aug 21, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
REGIONALLIGA (AUSTRIA)
Deutschlandsberger vs Hartberg
Model pick: Deutschlandsberger (100%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 34.17 – 0.54
Total goals: 34.7
Over 2.5: 0%
Both teams score: 0%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Deutschlandsberger | Hartberg |
|---|
| League position | #4 (51 pts) | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 2.2 / 1.5 | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 53% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 2.6 | 0.67 / 1.0 |
*Deutschlandsberger shown at home, Hartberg shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Deutschlandsberger — last 5
LDDDL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 60% of home games go over 2.5.
Hartberg — last 5
DLD
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Deutschlandsberger (home) | Hartberg (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 8-4-3 in 15 (2.2 / 1.5 goals per game) | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 0% |
Regionalliga (Austria) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.8
Home wins: 40%
Draws: 30%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 52%
BTTS: 48%
Use these Regionalliga (Austria) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (34.17 vs 0.54):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 8-0 (45%) |
| Double chance — Deutschlandsberger or draw (1X) | 100% |
| Double chance — Hartberg or draw (X2) | 0% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 100% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 100% / 0% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 100% / 0% |
| Deutschlandsberger clean sheet | 58% |
| Hartberg clean sheet | 0% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Deutschlandsberger is the model's most likely outcome at
100%. Deutschlandsberger are backed at home, where they average 1.6 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (100% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Deutschlandsberger vs Hartberg — FAQ
Who will win Deutschlandsberger vs Hartberg?
Our statistical model makes Deutschlandsberger the most likely result at 100%. Full probabilities: Deutschlandsberger 100%, draw 0%, Hartberg 0%.
Will both teams score in Deutschlandsberger vs Hartberg?
The model gives a 0% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Deutschlandsberger vs Hartberg?
Expected goals are 34.17 for Deutschlandsberger and 0.54 for Hartberg — about 34.7 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Deutschlandsberger vs Hartberg?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 8-0 (45%). Double chance for Deutschlandsberger or draw is 100%.