Dietach vs Leonfelden Prediction & Preview
Regionalliga (Austria) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
REGIONALLIGA (AUSTRIA)
Dietach vs Leonfelden
Model pick: Leonfelden (62%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.71 – 3.22
Total goals: 4.9
Over 2.5: 75%
Both teams score: 67%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Dietach | Leonfelden |
|---|
| League position | #11 (32 pts) | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 0.9 / 1.5 | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 33% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 3.2 | 2.0 / 1.8 |
*Dietach shown at home, Leonfelden shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Dietach — last 5
WDLLD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Leonfelden — last 5
DDLWD
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Dietach (home) | Leonfelden (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 5-3-7 in 15 (0.9 / 1.5 goals per game) | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 50% |
Regionalliga (Austria) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.31
Home wins: 42%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 34%
Over 2.5: 62%
BTTS: 58%
Use these Regionalliga (Austria) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.71 vs 3.22):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-3 (7%) |
| Double chance — Dietach or draw (1X) | 33% |
| Double chance — Leonfelden or draw (X2) | 82% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 85% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 96% / 4% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 72% / 28% |
| Dietach clean sheet | 4% |
| Leonfelden clean sheet | 18% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Leonfelden is the model's most likely outcome at
62%. Despite playing away, Leonfelden edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 4.9, this shapes as an open game (75% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Dietach vs Leonfelden — FAQ
Who will win Dietach vs Leonfelden?
Our statistical model makes Leonfelden the most likely result at 62%. Full probabilities: Dietach 20%, draw 18%, Leonfelden 62%.
Will both teams score in Dietach vs Leonfelden?
The model gives a 67% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Dietach vs Leonfelden?
Expected goals are 1.71 for Dietach and 3.22 for Leonfelden — about 4.9 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Dietach vs Leonfelden?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-3 (7%). Double chance for Dietach or draw is 33%.