Dila vs Meshakhte Tkibuli Prediction & Preview
Umaglesi Liga (Georgia) · Aug 15, 2026 · kickoff 13:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
UMAGLESI LIGA (GEORGIA)
Dila vs Meshakhte Tkibuli
Model pick: Dila (66%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.09 – 0.64
Total goals: 2.7
Over 2.5: 52%
Both teams score: 48%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Dila | Meshakhte Tkibuli |
|---|
| League position | #7 (26 pts) | #10 (11 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.2 / 0.9 | 0.9 / 1.7 |
| Win rate this season* | 40% | 10% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.6 / 1.6 | 1.2 / 1.8 |
*Dila shown at home, Meshakhte Tkibuli shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Dila — last 5
LLWLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 39% of the time; 47% of home games go over 2.5.
Meshakhte Tkibuli — last 5
DLWLL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 33% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Dila (home) | Meshakhte Tkibuli (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 4-2-4 in 10 (1.2 / 0.9 goals per game) | 1-3-6 in 10 (0.9 / 1.7 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 39% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 48% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% | 33% |
Umaglesi Liga (Georgia) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.69
Home wins: 42%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 51%
BTTS: 49%
Use these Umaglesi Liga (Georgia) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.09 vs 0.64):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-0 (14%) |
| Double chance — Dila or draw (1X) | 90% |
| Double chance — Meshakhte Tkibuli or draw (X2) | 29% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 81% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 76% / 24% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 29% / 71% |
| Dila clean sheet | 53% |
| Meshakhte Tkibuli clean sheet | 12% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Dila is the model's most likely outcome at
66%. Dila are backed at home, where they average 1.5 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (48% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Dila vs Meshakhte Tkibuli — FAQ
Who will win Dila vs Meshakhte Tkibuli?
Our statistical model makes Dila the most likely result at 66%. Full probabilities: Dila 66%, draw 21%, Meshakhte Tkibuli 13%.
Will both teams score in Dila vs Meshakhte Tkibuli?
The model gives a 48% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Dila vs Meshakhte Tkibuli?
Expected goals are 2.09 for Dila and 0.64 for Meshakhte Tkibuli — about 2.7 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Dila vs Meshakhte Tkibuli?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-0 (14%). Double chance for Dila or draw is 90%.