Dila vs Torpedo Kutaisi Prediction & Preview
Umaglesi Liga (Georgia) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
UMAGLESI LIGA (GEORGIA)
Dila vs Torpedo Kutaisi
Model pick: Dila (44%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.45 – 1.09
Total goals: 2.5
Over 2.5: 49%
Both teams score: 53%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Dila | Torpedo Kutaisi |
|---|
| League position | #6 (29 pts) | #5 (30 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.4 / 0.9 | 1.3 / 1.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 45% | 30% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 1.6 | 2.2 / 1.8 |
*Dila shown at home, Torpedo Kutaisi shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Dila — last 5
LWLWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 39% of the time; 47% of home games go over 2.5.
Torpedo Kutaisi — last 5
LWWLW
On the road: clean sheet 32% of the time; 47% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Dila (home) | Torpedo Kutaisi (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 5-2-4 in 11 (1.4 / 0.9 goals per game) | 3-3-4 in 10 (1.3 / 1.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 39% | 32% |
| Both teams scored | 49% | 47% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% | 47% |
Umaglesi Liga (Georgia) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.69
Home wins: 42%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 52%
BTTS: 49%
Use these Umaglesi Liga (Georgia) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.45 vs 1.09):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (12%) |
| Double chance — Dila or draw (1X) | 72% |
| Double chance — Torpedo Kutaisi or draw (X2) | 55% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 74% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 72% / 28% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 25% / 75% |
| Dila clean sheet | 34% |
| Torpedo Kutaisi clean sheet | 23% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Dila is the model's most likely outcome at
44%. Dila are backed at home, where they average 1.5 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (51% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Dila vs Torpedo Kutaisi — FAQ
Who will win Dila vs Torpedo Kutaisi?
Our statistical model makes Dila the most likely result at 44%. Full probabilities: Dila 44%, draw 27%, Torpedo Kutaisi 29%.
Will both teams score in Dila vs Torpedo Kutaisi?
The model gives a 53% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Dila vs Torpedo Kutaisi?
Expected goals are 1.45 for Dila and 1.09 for Torpedo Kutaisi — about 2.5 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Dila vs Torpedo Kutaisi?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (12%). Double chance for Dila or draw is 72%.