Dinamo Tbilisi vs Dila Prediction & Preview
Umaglesi Liga (Georgia) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 13:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
UMAGLESI LIGA (GEORGIA)
Dinamo Tbilisi vs Dila
Model pick: Dinamo Tbilisi (37%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.22 – 1.15
Total goals: 2.4
Over 2.5: 46%
Both teams score: 51%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Dinamo Tbilisi | Dila |
|---|
| League position | #2 (34 pts) | #7 (30 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.4 / 1.4 | 1.0 / 1.1 |
| Win rate this season* | 36% | 44% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 2.4 | 1.6 / 1.2 |
*Dinamo Tbilisi shown at home, Dila shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Dinamo Tbilisi — last 5
WLLWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 40% of the time; 58% of home games go over 2.5.
Dila — last 5
WLWWD
On the road: clean sheet 36% of the time; 49% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Dinamo Tbilisi (home) | Dila (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 4-3-4 in 11 (1.4 / 1.4 goals per game) | 4-0-5 in 9 (1.0 / 1.1 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 40% | 36% |
| Both teams scored | 52% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 49% |
Umaglesi Liga (Georgia) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.7
Home wins: 42%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 34%
Over 2.5: 52%
BTTS: 49%
Use these Umaglesi Liga (Georgia) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.22 vs 1.15):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (13%) |
| Double chance — Dinamo Tbilisi or draw (1X) | 66% |
| Double chance — Dila or draw (X2) | 62% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 72% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 68% / 32% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 22% / 78% |
| Dinamo Tbilisi clean sheet | 32% |
| Dila clean sheet | 30% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Dinamo Tbilisi is the model's most likely outcome at
37%. Dinamo Tbilisi are backed at home, where they average 2.0 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (54% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Dinamo Tbilisi vs Dila — FAQ
Who will win Dinamo Tbilisi vs Dila?
Our statistical model makes Dinamo Tbilisi the most likely result at 37%. Full probabilities: Dinamo Tbilisi 37%, draw 29%, Dila 34%.
Will both teams score in Dinamo Tbilisi vs Dila?
The model gives a 51% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Dinamo Tbilisi vs Dila?
Expected goals are 1.22 for Dinamo Tbilisi and 1.15 for Dila — about 2.4 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Dinamo Tbilisi vs Dila?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (13%). Double chance for Dinamo Tbilisi or draw is 66%.