Dinamo Tirana vs Auda Prediction & Preview
Europa Conference League (Europe) · Aug 13, 2026 · kickoff 19:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE (EUROPE)
Dinamo Tirana vs Auda
Model pick: Auda (46%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.16 – 0.76
Total goals: 0.9
Over 2.5: 19%
Both teams score: 26%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Dinamo Tirana | Auda |
|---|
| League position | #4 (0 pts) | #3 (43 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | 1.4 / 1.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 58% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.6 / 0.8 | 2.0 / 0.6 |
*Dinamo Tirana shown at home, Auda shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Dinamo Tirana — last 5
LWDWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 50% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Auda — last 5
WWWWW
On the road: clean sheet 30% of the time; 43% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Dinamo Tirana (home) | Auda (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | 7-3-2 in 12 (1.4 / 1.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 50% | 30% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 46% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 43% |
Europa Conference League (Europe) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.94
Home wins: 49%
Draws: 21%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 56%
BTTS: 50%
Use these Europa Conference League (Europe) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.16 vs 0.76):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (40%) |
| Double chance — Dinamo Tirana or draw (1X) | 52% |
| Double chance — Auda or draw (X2) | 93% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 55% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 23% / 77% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 1% / 99% |
| Dinamo Tirana clean sheet | 47% |
| Auda clean sheet | 85% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Auda is the model's most likely outcome at
46%. Despite playing away, Auda edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (81% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Dinamo Tirana vs Auda — FAQ
Who will win Dinamo Tirana vs Auda?
Our statistical model makes Auda the most likely result at 46%. Full probabilities: Dinamo Tirana 10%, draw 44%, Auda 46%.
Will both teams score in Dinamo Tirana vs Auda?
The model gives a 26% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Dinamo Tirana vs Auda?
Expected goals are 0.16 for Dinamo Tirana and 0.76 for Auda — about 0.9 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Dinamo Tirana vs Auda?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (40%). Double chance for Dinamo Tirana or draw is 52%.