Dinamo Zagreb vs Rudeš Prediction & Preview
HNL (Croatia) · Aug 14, 2026 · kickoff 18:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
HNL (CROATIA)
Dinamo Zagreb vs Rudeš
Model pick: Dinamo Zagreb (87%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 3.54 – 0.48
Total goals: 4.0
Over 2.5: 66%
Both teams score: 46%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Dinamo Zagreb | Rudeš |
|---|
| League position | #3 (3 pts) | #10 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 2.0 / 0.0 | 1.0 / 2.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 100% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.2 / 0.6 | 1.2 / 3.0 |
*Dinamo Zagreb shown at home, Rudeš shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Dinamo Zagreb — last 5
DDWWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 51% of the time; 57% of home games go over 2.5.
Rudeš — last 5
WLDLL
On the road: clean sheet 5% of the time; 58% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Dinamo Zagreb (home) | Rudeš (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-0-0 in 1 (2.0 / 0.0 goals per game) | 0-0-1 in 1 (1.0 / 2.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 51% | 5% |
| Both teams scored | 43% | 51% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 58% |
| Top scorer | Marko Pajac (6) | – |
HNL (Croatia) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.6
Home wins: 45%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 48%
BTTS: 48%
Use these HNL (Croatia) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (3.54 vs 0.48):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 3-0 (13%) |
| Double chance — Dinamo Zagreb or draw (1X) | 98% |
| Double chance — Rudeš or draw (X2) | 9% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 94% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 91% / 9% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 57% / 43% |
| Dinamo Zagreb clean sheet | 62% |
| Rudeš clean sheet | 3% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Dinamo Zagreb is the model's most likely outcome at
87%. Dinamo Zagreb are backed at home, where they average 2.3 goals a game. With expected goals of 4.0, this shapes as an open game (66% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Dinamo Zagreb vs Rudeš — FAQ
Who will win Dinamo Zagreb vs Rudeš?
Our statistical model makes Dinamo Zagreb the most likely result at 87%. Full probabilities: Dinamo Zagreb 87%, draw 9%, Rudeš 4%.
Will both teams score in Dinamo Zagreb vs Rudeš?
The model gives a 46% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Dinamo Zagreb vs Rudeš?
Expected goals are 3.54 for Dinamo Zagreb and 0.48 for Rudeš — about 4.0 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Dinamo Zagreb vs Rudeš?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 3-0 (13%). Double chance for Dinamo Zagreb or draw is 98%.