Dinamo Zagreb vs Slaven Koprivnica Prediction & Preview
HNL (Croatia) · Jul 31, 2026 · kickoff 18:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
HNL (CROATIA)
Dinamo Zagreb vs Slaven Koprivnica
Model pick: Dinamo Zagreb (76%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.5 – 0.69
Total goals: 3.2
Over 2.5: 57%
Both teams score: 49%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Dinamo Zagreb | Slaven Koprivnica |
|---|
| League position | #1 (0 pts) | #5 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.8 / 0.6 | 2.0 / 2.2 |
*Dinamo Zagreb shown at home, Slaven Koprivnica shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Dinamo Zagreb — last 5
DWWDD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 51% of the time; 57% of home games go over 2.5.
Slaven Koprivnica — last 5
LLLDW
On the road: clean sheet 21% of the time; 47% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Dinamo Zagreb (home) | Slaven Koprivnica (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 51% | 21% |
| Both teams scored | 43% | 47% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 47% |
| Top scorer | Marko Pajac (6) | Ilija Nestorovski (4) |
HNL (Croatia) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.6
Home wins: 45%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 48%
BTTS: 48%
Use these HNL (Croatia) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.5 vs 0.69):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-0 (13%) |
| Double chance — Dinamo Zagreb or draw (1X) | 92% |
| Double chance — Slaven Koprivnica or draw (X2) | 23% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 85% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 83% / 17% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 39% / 61% |
| Dinamo Zagreb clean sheet | 50% |
| Slaven Koprivnica clean sheet | 8% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Dinamo Zagreb is the model's most likely outcome at
76%. Dinamo Zagreb are backed at home, where they average 2.3 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.2, this shapes as an open game (57% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Dinamo Zagreb vs Slaven Koprivnica — FAQ
Who will win Dinamo Zagreb vs Slaven Koprivnica?
Our statistical model makes Dinamo Zagreb the most likely result at 76%. Full probabilities: Dinamo Zagreb 76%, draw 15%, Slaven Koprivnica 8%.
Will both teams score in Dinamo Zagreb vs Slaven Koprivnica?
The model gives a 49% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Dinamo Zagreb vs Slaven Koprivnica?
Expected goals are 2.5 for Dinamo Zagreb and 0.69 for Slaven Koprivnica — about 3.2 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Dinamo Zagreb vs Slaven Koprivnica?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-0 (13%). Double chance for Dinamo Zagreb or draw is 92%.