Djerv 1919 vs Haugesund Prediction & Preview
NM Cupen (Norway) · Sep 08, 2026 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NM CUPEN (NORWAY)
Djerv 1919 vs Haugesund
Model pick: Haugesund (46%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.92 – 1.43
Total goals: 2.4
Over 2.5: 46%
Both teams score: 50%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Djerv 1919 | Haugesund |
|---|
| League position | n/a | #1 (43 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | 3.0 / 2.3 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 64% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 3.0 / 0.6 | 3.6 / 1.6 |
*Djerv 1919 shown at home, Haugesund shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Djerv 1919 — last 5
WWWWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 50% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Haugesund — last 5
WLWWW
On the road: clean sheet 22% of the time; 53% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Djerv 1919 (home) | Haugesund (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | 7-0-4 in 11 (3.0 / 2.3 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 50% | 22% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 52% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 53% |
NM Cupen (Norway) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 5.52
Home wins: 15%
Draws: 0%
Away wins: 85%
Over 2.5: 89%
BTTS: 42%
Use these NM Cupen (Norway) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.92 vs 1.43):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (14%) |
| Double chance — Djerv 1919 or draw (1X) | 51% |
| Double chance — Haugesund or draw (X2) | 76% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 73% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 68% / 32% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 21% / 79% |
| Djerv 1919 clean sheet | 24% |
| Haugesund clean sheet | 40% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Haugesund is the model's most likely outcome at
46%. Despite playing away, Haugesund edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (54% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Djerv 1919 vs Haugesund — FAQ
Who will win Djerv 1919 vs Haugesund?
Our statistical model makes Haugesund the most likely result at 46%. Full probabilities: Djerv 1919 26%, draw 28%, Haugesund 46%.
Will both teams score in Djerv 1919 vs Haugesund?
The model gives a 50% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Djerv 1919 vs Haugesund?
Expected goals are 0.92 for Djerv 1919 and 1.43 for Haugesund — about 2.4 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Djerv 1919 vs Haugesund?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (14%). Double chance for Djerv 1919 or draw is 51%.